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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Posted by By Briggs May 28, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer

Posted by By Briggs May 27, 2026
Continue Reading
How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days
Posted inStatistics

How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days

Been a long while since we updated the coronadoom numbers. The big reason for our tardiness is the CDC is always late in reporting numbers, by at least eight weeks,…
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How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer
Posted inStatistics

How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer

Question from Anon (with added paragraphifications): Message: Dear Dr Briggs, I am a lay man in statistics, who has tried to avoid this kind of sport as much as possible,…
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“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”
Posted inStatistics

“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”

That lack of, or low, serotonin drives "depression" is a medial truism, say many. Those who say it most strongly are those companies manufacturing chemicals to boost serotonin levels (or…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Confession Must Be Serial
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Confession Must Be Serial

Previous post. As last week, falling from grace after receiving it happens. Confession is only for the past. THAT A MAN SINNING AFTER THE GRACE OF THE SACRAMENTS CAN BE…
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Why The “Climate Emergency”?
Posted inStatistics

Why The “Climate Emergency”?

The powers that run Biden are pushing him to declare a "climate emergency." I don't know the exact strengths and motivations of the elites touting this inside the White House,…
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San Francisco Proves Asians Are Horribly Racist To Blacks
Posted inCulture

San Francisco Proves Asians Are Horribly Racist To Blacks

The San Francisco Board of Education released a slew of stats on high school performance, broken down by race. We knew the answers in advance: Asians do best, then whites,…
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A People’s History of COVID-19
Posted inStatistics

A People’s History of COVID-19

This essay first appeared at Mars Review of Books. SCIENCE Listen to The Science! Here is what The Science said: Stay inside for two weeks and we’ll flatten the curve.…
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Probability is Logic
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability is Logic

I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert's is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing…
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  1. John M on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    The research and studies about reversing Alzheimer's and other dementia is amazing. It will have a big impact on longevity…

  2. C-Marie on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    Once a woman becomes pregnant, she is a mother, and the man who gave his sperm is a father. When…

  3. Gail Finke on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Guttmacher's numbers of pre-Roe abortions are hugely inflated. They had an interest in making those numbers higher (convincing people that…

  4. Johnno on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Well, hopefully they enjoy those longer lives while they last, because there is an eternity in Hell waiting for them…

  5. ~Nona on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Self-serving comment? Maybe. BUT it was really interesting to read. As a child I lived next door to a centenarian.…

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