Posted inClass Statistics
Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out
All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven't seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…
Posted inClass Statistics
Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!
The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions
The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…
Posted inClass Statistics
Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question
From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, "The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…
Posted inStatistics
Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Experts Mystified Why Gender Dysphoria Increasing
Here's the headline: Cases of gender dysphoria in Swedish teenage girls up 1,500 percent since 2008. The Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare says that the number of cases…
Posted inClass Statistics
Coronavirus Statistics: R Code Included! — Updated With Hack To Adjust For New Reporting Methods
Intro I thought it would be fun to turn the daily coronavirus predictions I've been making into statistics class, complete with code. There are two parts to this: (1) the…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…