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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Latest Articles
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!

Posted by By Briggs June 10, 2026
Continue Reading
#BoycottDisney — And, After They Surrender, Boycott The Next One
Posted inCulture

#BoycottDisney — And, After They Surrender, Boycott The Next One

Here is one of a series of videos exposing Disney's open conspiracy to groom and corrupt your kids. https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo/status/1508926408332034049 Rufo has many more (example) on his time line. In quick…
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How People Think Their False Ideas Are True
Posted inBook review

How People Think Their False Ideas Are True

This is the complete Appendix from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Brace Yourself The Two Ways Arguments Go Wrong At this point, I am hoping the reader does a little…
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The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues
Posted inStatistics

The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues

"Say, Briggs. Since you're Statistician to the Stars!, explain to me how I can tell if two means are different in a simple way that even I can understand." You…
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Army To Lower Women’s Pay, Keep Men’s Higher Pay
Posted inCulture

Army To Lower Women’s Pay, Keep Men’s Higher Pay

The US Military has announced it will lower women's pay, but will keep men's pay at the same levels. Anita Broad of the National Organization of Woman commented, "That's fair.…
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How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty
Posted inStatistics

How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty

It's easy to sound more certain than the evidence warrants, especially when using classical parameter-based statistical methods. I'll show you how. I'll give you the procedure first, then work through…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Answering Criticisms Against The Incarnation
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Answering Criticisms Against The Incarnation

Previous post. Part II, and part last, of the rebuttals of the objections against the incarnation. This chapter is what we of a mathematical mind call long. ANSWER TO THE…
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The Consecration Of Russia & Its Consequences To The Global Church — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Consecration Of Russia & Its Consequences To The Global Church — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Editor's note: This was written before the Vatican changed the consecration, which Pope Benedict was to attend, to "humanity" with a special emphasis on Ukraine and Russia. The new ceremony…
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Black Woman SCOTUS Nominee, Who Is A Black Woman, Doesn’t Know What A Woman Is
Posted inCulture

Black Woman SCOTUS Nominee, Who Is A Black Woman, Doesn’t Know What A Woman Is

SEN. BLACKBURN: "Can you provide a definition of the word 'woman'?" JACKSON: "No, I can't" BLACKBURN: "You can't?" JACKSON: "I'm not a biologist" Let's think carefully about everything that has…
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  1. Narrenschiff on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 13, 2026

    As far as length of a post goes--it could always be read piecemeal if need be. What else are you…

  2. MikeW on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 13, 2026

    Due to the threat of Climate Change of Doom, the soccer industry has been forced to insert a 3-minute "hydration…

  3. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 11, 2026

    The picture on the video link shows how boring the game is. There are so many people yawning and a…

  4. _Jim on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 11, 2026

    re: "How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power" Having skimmed the above post, I realize my…

  5. _Jim on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 11, 2026

    re: "The only question is capacity to recognize guilt. If the perpetrator was allowed to vote in national elections, the…

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