William M. Briggs

Dreaded Delta Bows To Alpha; Cult of Certain Death; Cult of the Mask; Vexxine Effectiveness; Propaganda Bots; Model Insanity; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXXII

WHY VEXXINE? I spell it vexxine for the comedy, but mostly because of our rulers and Experts vigorously censor the vaccine spelling when any hint of criticism is given. I…

Statistics

New CDC Report Shows How “The Science” Is Done Today: Badly

"Wait two weeks," the political appointee who heads the CDC said, repeating the Safety First Mantra. "Wear your masks and the Dreaded Delta will subside. Our new The Science, which…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Filioque I

Previous post. Arguments over the filioque, the arguments about which begin this week, divide the Church. That is unfortunate, regardless which side you take. Why argue irreconcilably over a mystery…

Statistics

A Note On Mathematical Axioms (With Regard To Sizes Of Infinity)

This isn't easy going, but there's a story out, with a very good write up in Quanta, on mathematical axioms, as they apply to different sizes of infinity. Key paragraph:…

Statistics

Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause

Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker's documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a…

Statistics

Chimp Out Blamed On Global Cooling

Here's a story you didn't see coming, but should have, given how easily Experts are persuaded by other Experts to believe in each others' Expertology. Headline: "Chimps are spotted ganging…

Statistics

The Five+ Waves Of COVID Explained; Vexxination Tyranny; Why They Stopped Reporting Deaths; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXXI

Our Global Rulers' Motto: Science created the coronadoom, and Science will cure it. Trust The Science! Do not miss the last and most important section this week. It explains the…

Podcast Statistics

Media Blames Heatwave On Global Warming: I Say Nope

Okay, hold the emails. I changed the title to "global warming." I used "global cooling" originally only because it irritates to a great extent the ignorant who are always chanting…

C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie
shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…
Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
hudbwu, You could be right.
hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

William M. Briggs

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Dreaded Delta Bows To Alpha; Cult of Certain Death; Cult of the Mask; Vexxine Effectiveness; Propaganda Bots; Model Insanity; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXXII

New CDC Report Shows How “The Science” Is Done Today: Badly

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Filioque I

A Note On Mathematical Axioms (With Regard To Sizes Of Infinity)

Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause

Chimp Out Blamed On Global Cooling

The Five+ Waves Of COVID Explained; Vexxination Tyranny; Why They Stopped Reporting Deaths; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXXI

Media Blames Heatwave On Global Warming: I Say Nope

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification