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Latest Articles
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
December 30, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Posted by By Briggs February 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Posted by By Briggs February 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity XIV
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity XIV

Previous post. Why the Holy Ghost is God. AN ANSWER TO THE ARGUMENTS GIVEN ABOVE AGAINST THE DIVINITY OF THE HOLY SPIRIT 1 One must now answer the arguments previously…
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Merciless Mercy: On The Motu Proprio — Guest Post by Traditional Priest
Posted inCulture

Merciless Mercy: On The Motu Proprio — Guest Post by Traditional Priest

The recent motu proprio – decree issued on his own initiative – of Pope Francis, along with its prefatory letter, clearly express the intent to abolish, at least eventually, the…
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The Not So Great Reset  — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Not So Great Reset — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Much has been said of the The Great Reset. We all know what I refer to. The ongoing attempt to distort our (supposedly) old world into the new world of…
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The Vatican II Revolution Eats Its Own — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn
Posted inCulture

The Vatican II Revolution Eats Its Own — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

You probably had no particular reason to pay attention to this story, but three weeks ago a former bishop of Fargo, North Dakota was outed as a child molester. That…
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Dreaded Delta Surge Explained (Is it the Vexxine?); Cars Killing More Than COVID; Literal Ministries Of Truth; UK Pingdemic; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXX
Posted inStatistics

Dreaded Delta Surge Explained (Is it the Vexxine?); Cars Killing More Than COVID; Literal Ministries Of Truth; UK Pingdemic; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXX

BRACE YOURSELF How many died of traffic fatalities last week? About 744. On average. Given 38,680 died last year. How many died of the doom? CDC says 163. But that's…
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Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update
Posted inFun

Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update

It was remarked the other day that a comment moderation system of some kind should be used here on the blog. The reason is that are some people who come…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity XIII
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Understanding The Trinity XIII

Previous post. This week, some brief answers to earlier criticisms about the Holy Ghost; next week the fuller rebuttals. ON THE EFFECTS ATTRIBUTED TO THE HOLY SPIRIT IN THAT HE…
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Models Only Say What They’re Told to Say — The Paper!
Posted inStatistics

Models Only Say What They’re Told to Say — The Paper!

The paper (more like a glorified note, really) "Models Only Say What They’re Told to Say" (by me) will appear in the Springer book Prediction and Causality in Econometrics and…
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  1. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  2. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…

  4. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    hudbwu, You could be right.

  5. hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

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