William M. Briggs

South Dakota Tour In The Time Of Coronadoom — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

Follow Greenhorn on Twitter---until he's purged. My wife and I entered the Black Hills from the south. It was a perfect time to be there, because all the snow and…

Statistics

Why Simple Models Are Better Than Complex In Finance, Climate, Coronadoom & More

Right after yesterday's post on (again) why rationalism and reason fail as philosophies, and on their severe limitations, I read an article profiling Gerd Gigerenzer and his "simple rules". It…

Philosophy

Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails

Fun quiz time! This is some data: x = c(0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1). Something caused that data to be. I know what it is,…

Statistics

Vaccine Efficacy, Vaccine Tyranny & Lockdown Lawlessness: Coronavirus Update LV

VACCINE EFFICACY Long-time reader Steve Fettig asked me to look into the Reason [sic] article (by Bailey) "Vaccines Are 100% Effective at Preventing COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Deaths", which is based…

Statistics

Debased Political Rag The Lancet Blames Poor Health On Trump & (You Guessed It) White Supremacy

The debased political magazine The Lancet has released a massive report blaming poor health on Trump and white supremacy. Occult white supremacists have taken the role of unseen counter-revolutionaries in…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Protius

Previous post. Not knowing where else to put this, and this the Lord's day, a prayer request from a long-time reader. I know this might sound weird since I'm just…

Culture

QWERTY Propaganda Works: Almost 18% of Gen Z Have Fallen Into Sexual Fantasy

Gallup has its 2020 poll on what sexual fantasies people most identify "as"---our desires now make us what we believe. The lesson to be learned from this is that QWERTY…

Culture

Equality Will Lead Us To Our Doom

The Snake said, "God knows well that when you eat of it your eyes will be opened and you will be like gods." Eve desired Equality. She got it. It's…

John M on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
"How many souls make it to Heaven" is an attribute that can't be expressed with variable data.
Brian (bulaoren) on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
As it happens, Stephen Pinker and I were at the same university, around the same time. No, I don't recall…
bob sykes on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
Humanism might be a better guide, if you are a high-IQ Greek philospher like Aristotle, or even Nietzsche. But for…
Uncle Mike on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
"...the only metric that matters is how many souls make it to Heaven..." This metric is tough to measure. There's…
JH on The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s FollyMarch 17, 2026
What Pinker missed was that if a religion is true, then living by its tenets is best. What does it…

William M. Briggs

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

South Dakota Tour In The Time Of Coronadoom — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

Why Simple Models Are Better Than Complex In Finance, Climate, Coronadoom & More

Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails

Vaccine Efficacy, Vaccine Tyranny & Lockdown Lawlessness: Coronavirus Update LV

Debased Political Rag The Lancet Blames Poor Health On Trump & (You Guessed It) White Supremacy

Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Protius

QWERTY Propaganda Works: Almost 18% of Gen Z Have Fallen Into Sexual Fantasy

Equality Will Lead Us To Our Doom

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification