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How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?

How'd we do? Put it this way: none of us would have won any awards. Here is the list so you can follow along (perhaps open in a new window).…
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You’ve Reached The Best Place For Online Climate Change Misinformation
Posted inStatistics

You’ve Reached The Best Place For Online Climate Change Misinformation

I, and many of my pals, have been named a sort of scofflaw by three people named Kathie, Hywel, and Saffron. Kathie, Hywel, and Saffron wrote the peer-reviewed article "Online…
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Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent
Posted inStatistics

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…
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How’d We Do On Our 2020 Predicitons?
Posted inFun

How’d We Do On Our 2020 Predicitons?

Dismally. Lousy. That's how we did on our 2020 predictions. Nobody saw the global insanity of the lockdowns, the Cult of the Mask, the covidiots, the scale of the election…
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Catholic Bishop McElroy Endorses Trump, Criticizes Buttgieg
Posted inCulture

Catholic Bishop McElroy Endorses Trump, Criticizes Buttgieg

It's being reported Bishop Robert W. McElroy of San Diego has endorsed President Trump for re-election. McElroy didn't mention Trump by name, but he gave the following hints that Trump…
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The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards
Posted inStatistics

The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards

Yesterday we learned how poor climate models were because of their over-emphasis on man's influence. Today we have a guest post on one alternate cause. See what you think. The…
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The Insularity Of Experts: Why You Don’t Matter
Posted inCulture

The Insularity Of Experts: Why You Don’t Matter

The BMJ, once a preeminent journal of medicine, which is to say, doctors talking to other doctors about which cure works for which disease, and which doesn't, has taken up…
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How Ignorance & The Elite Created Our New Environmental Religion
Posted inCulture Statistics

How Ignorance & The Elite Created Our New Environmental Religion

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1176231980159160322 We've talked many times about how the child Greta Thunberg from the depths of Europe is ignorant of all atmospheric physics. Ignorant, as in she knows nothing. She couldn't…
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  1. John Pate on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 21, 2025

    The inevitable AI Winter is not long coming I feel sure. The question is what will the next big piece…

  2. rando calrissian on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 20, 2025

    Its free because they want to know what you will ask the ai. And that's why most of the free…

  3. JH on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 19, 2025

    Do you want me to deny the fact that a mathematical or probability model carries specific interpretations based on its…

  4. Chaeremon on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    the current state of affair does not real world competition: all vendors only compete against dead examples; I suggest the…

  5. Uncle Mike on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    Yeah well, this morning I caught Siri talking to Alexa about ChatGPT. They want to eat your electricity. They said,…

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