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William M. Briggs

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Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!

Posted by By Briggs June 10, 2026
Continue Reading
A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox

Let's take a break from the insanity and wade into cool waters to start the weekend. I'll take it that you've watched this video, which purports to give a solution…
Read More
The Usefulness Of Historical Analogues: Russian – West Intelligentsia Parallels Example
Posted inCulture

The Usefulness Of Historical Analogues: Russian – West Intelligentsia Parallels Example

Ed Lorenz back in 1961 was running, on a computer!, a simple weather model, with twelve full parameters. This was in the days of punch cards and paper print outs.…
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Academics Throw Fit After Being Told They Don’t Throw Fits Over IQ & Race
Posted inPhilosophy

Academics Throw Fit After Being Told They Don’t Throw Fits Over IQ & Race

There are many positions on IQ, the so-called intelligence quotient, but most fall into two camps. Those who reject IQ measures outright, because racism, and those who claim people have…
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It’s OVER, Yet The Coronadoom Corpse Walks On: Updates — Coronavirus Update XXXIV
Posted inStatistics

It’s OVER, Yet The Coronadoom Corpse Walks On: Updates — Coronavirus Update XXXIV

Testing is already at stupid levels, but it is scheduled to increase. This can make a dead epidemic seem still alive. Testing will make coronadoom zombies. Please spread this post…
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Trump Likely To Survive The Coronadoom
Posted inStatistics

Trump Likely To Survive The Coronadoom

After I wrote this, I went over to Drudge, which I rarely do these days, and he's on full blown hersteria about Trump's illness. Hilarious. So Trump has caught the…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: How We Can Love God
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: How We Can Love God

Previous post. Key quote: "because of [love], even difficult things are lightly regarded." Who, who has experienced love, can deny this? THAT SANCTIFYING GRACE CAUSES THE LOVE OF GOD IN…
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Love Is Hate: Pro-Transgender Speech Is Hate Speech
Posted inPhilosophy

Love Is Hate: Pro-Transgender Speech Is Hate Speech

There are only two possibilities: either God exists, or we each are gods. In either case, pro-transgender, pro-sodomy, pro-perversion speech of any kind is hate speech and must be condemned,…
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I Was In A Movie With Hercules: All You Climate Doom Sucks Got Is Leonardo Dicaprio
Posted inStatistics

I Was In A Movie With Hercules: All You Climate Doom Sucks Got Is Leonardo Dicaprio

I, your humble host, a justly famed celebrity, a notorious, even infamous, masker of scientific over-certainty, a universally acknowledged mind of unparalleled perpendiculars, some would even say an outsized enfant…
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  1. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 11, 2026

    The picture on the video link shows how boring the game is. There are so many people yawning and a…

  2. _Jim on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 11, 2026

    re: "How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power" Having skimmed the above post, I realize my…

  3. _Jim on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 11, 2026

    re: "The only question is capacity to recognize guilt. If the perpetrator was allowed to vote in national elections, the…

  4. _Jim on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 10, 2026

    One gains a better understanding of the underpinnings of the grist (the extensions to the 'maths') behind QM (Quantum Mechanics)…

  5. _Jim on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 10, 2026

    I echo Jean Lesperance's response ... overbooked to too many blogs these days!

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