William M. Briggs

Prediction: Biden’s Minders Won’t Let Him Debate

https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1290971428813242368 It's cheating to start with this clip of Biden's mental f--- Biden's mental f--- Biden's mental fitness, but politics is war. My favorite part, incidentally, is around 45 seconds…

Podcast

Conservative Casual Friday (Now Wednesday)—Statistician to the Stars Debunks Coronadoom

Two great radio shows, featuring not-so-great Yours Truly. Andrew Harrod of Global Patriot Radio kindly interviewed me last Friday on his show, Conservative Casual Friday--Statistician to the Stars Debunks Coronadoom,…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update XXV: The Suppression Of Hydroxychloroquine & Other Conspiracies

The first section of this are fun conspiracies to highlight the political crisis. The second section are the numbers showing the medical crisis is over. The third section discusses the…

Statistics

Science Says: Treat Women Differently Than Men

Men and women are different, a fact known to all throughout all history, until recently. Sort of. We know the fact now, too, but some pretend not to know it…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Diversity & Order of Punishments

Previous post. Key quote: "the greatest punishment will be for man to be cut off from happiness". ON THE DIVERSITY AND ORDER OF PUNISHMENTS 1 As we have just seen,…

Culture

The Church’s Limp-Wristed Coronadoom Response

Perhaps the worst thing the Church did in response to coronadoom was to issue, in the true spirit of "synodality", a new "viral" translation of the Bible. These modified verses…

Statistics

Mathematicians Can’t Solve Reality Equation, Want To Ban Predictive Policing

Remember how, despite warnings to the contrary, many of you thought STEM was safe from the holiness spirals and vice signaling working its way through academic like salmonella through a…

Culture

1968 Then And Now — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Welcome home, neighbor. Welcome to our past. Welcome to our future. Most of all, welcome back to Hué. The scene of America's last great military victory. A hard-fought victory against…

John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026
I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…
Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
"their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…
Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…
gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026
Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…
Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

William M. Briggs

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Prediction: Biden’s Minders Won’t Let Him Debate

Conservative Casual Friday (Now Wednesday)—Statistician to the Stars Debunks Coronadoom

Coronavirus Update XXV: The Suppression Of Hydroxychloroquine & Other Conspiracies

Science Says: Treat Women Differently Than Men

Summary Against Modern Thought: Diversity & Order of Punishments

The Church’s Limp-Wristed Coronadoom Response

Mathematicians Can’t Solve Reality Equation, Want To Ban Predictive Policing

1968 Then And Now — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification