William M. Briggs

Researchers Say Thoughts & Prayers Are Harmful, Confirmed With Wee P-Values

I don't know if Wall Street has a Science fund. If they do, short it. Why? Take this peer-reviewed paper by the two ladies Linda Thunstrom and Shiri Noy in…

Philosophy

The Moral Reason for Free Will — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Do human persons have free will? I would say so. And I will expound on a fairly common yet powerful argument for the existence of free will, viz., that moral…

Statistics

Those-Who-Enjoy-Sodomy Attacked With Tanning Salons! Wee P-Values Confirm

To prove that we are indeed doomed, and that we haven't even come close to hitting the bottom of the bottomless Pit Of Progress, this Newsweek headline: TANNING SALONS COULD…

Culture

Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!

Here we are, friends. As promised, Draft 2 of the Realist Catholic Climate Declaration. Draft 1 is at the bottom, with a summary of critiques. The goal is to have…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Can Product Effects Without Proximate Causes

Previous post. Miracles are possible. This chapter is only an introduction. In two weeks, we get to the meat of miracles. THAT GOD CAN WORK APART FROM THE ORDER IMPLANTED…

Culture

The Week In Doom — Extreme Transphobia Edition

Item https://twitter.com/rachelvmckinnon/status/1178619997704327168 A man preferring a woman over a man pretending to a woman, and vice versa, is now "transphobic". This ramping up of insanity was expected, at least among…

Culture

ADL Lists 100%, Boots, Okay Sign, Bowl Cuts As “Hate” Symbols

The fund raising organization known as the Anti-Defamation League defamed basketball coaches the world over for their use of "100%", which is now an official "hate" symbol, and therefore "anti-Semitic".…

Culture

Good & Bad Bishops: The Lesson Of Dagger John — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Nobody understands anything anymore. That's not surprising. After all, we are sheep. And sheep are easily led. Even into the mouths of wolves. Who leads us there? Our shepherds, of…

Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…
Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025
What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…
Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025
I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

William M. Briggs

Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical Statistics

AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor Lie

Class 48: What Is A Model?

I’m Going To Sue Scientists Who Gave Me Apoplexy Over Claims Of Climate Liability

Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money

The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!

Class 47: Billions Of Models!

A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin Reviewed

Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested

Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness

The Educational Empire Strikes Back

Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?

Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active

Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification

New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look

A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence

Power Restored, Posts To Resume

No posts, class. No power, no internet

MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies

Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Researchers Say Thoughts & Prayers Are Harmful, Confirmed With Wee P-Values

The Moral Reason for Free Will — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Those-Who-Enjoy-Sodomy Attacked With Tanning Salons! Wee P-Values Confirm

Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Can Product Effects Without Proximate Causes

The Week In Doom — Extreme Transphobia Edition

ADL Lists 100%, Boots, Okay Sign, Bowl Cuts As “Hate” Symbols

Good & Bad Bishops: The Lesson Of Dagger John — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification