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Latest Articles
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves

Posted by By Briggs May 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

Posted by By Briggs May 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out

All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven't seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…
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Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!
Posted inClass Statistics

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Worship Belongs To God Alone
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Worship Belongs To God Alone

Previous post. A good reminder "cult" has changed in meaning over time. Latria = highest kind of worship. Why we worship God is in #5 below. THAT THE CULT PROPER…
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The Week In Doom — Spitting Out The Window Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Spitting Out The Window Edition

Item Let's Call It Trumpvirus: If you're feeling awful, you know who to blame (New York Times op ed) Yeah, when you think of Mike Pence you maybe don't think…
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Janissaries, The LGBT Army & The End Of Empire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Janissaries, The LGBT Army & The End Of Empire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Mentita est iniquita sibi... Iniquity, as always, lies to itself. And then to everyone else. Eastern Orthodoxy is no exception. Because it is a deception, masquerading as a belief. As…
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Case Study In Why Conservatism Will Continue To Fail
Posted inCulture

Case Study In Why Conservatism Will Continue To Fail

Conservatism, as we have long discussed, is dead. Though perhaps it doesn't seem that way, because its corpse is seen ambling about with a caring look on its decomposing face.…
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Naming Your Pronouns In Business: Reader Help Requested
Posted inCulture

Naming Your Pronouns In Business: Reader Help Requested

Rod Dreher (I know, I know) had an article in which he explains his forbidden love with Moldbug, concluding "A couple of things he said made me realize that his…
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Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions

The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize OurselvesMay 18, 2026

    I just read an article based on "studies" that attempted to panic me about the potential deadliness of down-filled pillows…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize OurselvesMay 18, 2026

    Threat avoidance seems pretty instinctual. Threat awareness, on the other hand, depends upon the scope of information before us. Sadly,…

  3. Tars Tarkas on Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize OurselvesMay 18, 2026

    "What are these airy indefinite words? Propaganda, that’s what." Propaganda is the default setting for the English language press. Most…

  4. Tony Cooke on Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize OurselvesMay 18, 2026

    The description of the possible transfer of the Hanta virus reminded me of the woman who sang "I danced with…

  5. The Errors of Mr. Coffin on the PP signature and Apostolic Blessings – Roma Locuta Est on Munus, Ministerium & Pope Emeritus Benedict — Guest Post by Fr John RickertMay 16, 2026

    […] However, for the record I will note that myself and others (e.g., Ryan Grant, and Fr. John Rickert, HERE…

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