William M. Briggs

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Law Orders Man Toward God

Previous post. Next week we begin what the laws themselves are. THAT THE DIVINE LAW PRINCIPALLY ORDERS MAN TOWARD GOD 1 From this conclusion we may gather what it is…

Culture

The Week In Doom — Transanity Update Edition

Item LGBTQ education is now mandatory in N.J. schools For a high school history assignment on the Holocaust, Olivia Loesch chose the pink triangle, used by the Nazis to persecute…

Culture

We Don’t Want Ideological Diversity

I realized after I wrote this that it could stand for my mandatory Diversity statement. We want Truth and Reality to be represented in academia. We certainly don't need racial…

Statistics

On Cause In Probability Models

Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…

Statistics

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…

Statistics

That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence

Find by general acclaim the smartest man in the world. Call this man "Group A". Call everybody else "Group B". There will necessarily be a group difference in mean intelligence,…

Culture

A German “Migrant” Explains Why Vigilantism Will Increase

An old argument for a state police force is that justice is removed from family, clan, and tribe to what is seen as an impartial authority. This shift subdues, eliminates,…

shawn marshall on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026
I do pray that the Iranians will be freed from the Mullahs who I do believe want to fashion a…
Johnno on Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb PeopleApril 2, 2026
Has this Pierre perhaps considered that it is the light of Belgian criminal law and more specifically the anti-racism law…
Johnno on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 2, 2026
God already foresaw all this. He warned us so in 1916 and provided a solution since 1929, in the run…
JH on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 1, 2026
Promoting greater equality at home can be a solution, in addition to offering incentives to involve grandparents, as Frick suggests…
Uncle Mike on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 1, 2026
I feel the same way. Tilting at windmills while the sun sets. Impossible dream, unbeatable foe, marching into hell for…

William M. Briggs

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Summary Against Modern Thought: Divine Law Orders Man Toward God

The Week In Doom — Transanity Update Edition

We Don’t Want Ideological Diversity

On Cause In Probability Models

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence

A German “Migrant” Explains Why Vigilantism Will Increase

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification