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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!

Posted by By Briggs June 10, 2026
Continue Reading
The Political Corruption Of Science — Too Many People Of No Color Edition
Posted inCulture

The Political Corruption Of Science — Too Many People Of No Color Edition

A female named Emma Goldberg took to the pages of the (anti-Christian) New York Times and said Earth Science Has a Whiteness Problem. Barely 10 percent of doctoral degrees in…
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The Political Corruption Of Science– U Michigan Inserts Zampolit Into Every Office Edition
Posted inCulture

The Political Corruption Of Science– U Michigan Inserts Zampolit Into Every Office Edition

This happened a little while back, but it's still of great importance. The University of Michigan inserted zampolit (political officers) into each and "every academic and administrative unit." According to…
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The Political Corruption Of Science — Sex Assigned At Birth Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Political Corruption Of Science — Sex Assigned At Birth Edition

A peer-reviewed paper that caused a ripple in awareness before Christmas is worth investigating. Outlets ran headlines like this: "Trans children sense their gender identities at young ages, study suggests."…
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On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
Posted inStatistics

On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper

The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Animals Are Lower Than Man
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Animals Are Lower Than Man

Previous post. Only the lowest forms of slavery seek to control the thoughts of the slaves. Also see paragraph 12 for why it's okay to eat meat. THAT RATIONAL CREATURES…
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The Week In Doom — California School Free-For-All Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — California School Free-For-All Edition

Here are two weeks of Doom crammed into one. Item Bombs away! Either it's WWIII or just one more dead body in the Mideast pleasing the usual suspects. Ben Shapiro…
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The Political Corruption Of Science — Mandatory Oaths To Diversity Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Political Corruption Of Science — Mandatory Oaths To Diversity Edition

We continue our series of the pozzing of science by Diversity, Inclusion, and Equity (DIE) mavens (the DIE is from Steve Sailer). A mathematician wrote in the Wall Street Journal…
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How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?
Posted inCulture Fun

How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?

A strong no prize this year. Nobody did well enough. Not enough specific predictions, or those that were specific did not come to pass. Doom predictions are too easy: they…
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  1. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 11, 2026

    The picture on the video link shows how boring the game is. There are so many people yawning and a…

  2. _Jim on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 11, 2026

    re: "How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power" Having skimmed the above post, I realize my…

  3. _Jim on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 11, 2026

    re: "The only question is capacity to recognize guilt. If the perpetrator was allowed to vote in national elections, the…

  4. _Jim on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 10, 2026

    One gains a better understanding of the underpinnings of the grist (the extensions to the 'maths') behind QM (Quantum Mechanics)…

  5. _Jim on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 10, 2026

    I echo Jean Lesperance's response ... overbooked to too many blogs these days!

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