William M. Briggs

The Political Corruption Of Science– U Michigan Inserts Zampolit Into Every Office Edition

This happened a little while back, but it's still of great importance. The University of Michigan inserted zampolit (political officers) into each and "every academic and administrative unit." According to…

Statistics

The Political Corruption Of Science — Sex Assigned At Birth Edition

A peer-reviewed paper that caused a ripple in awareness before Christmas is worth investigating. Outlets ran headlines like this: "Trans children sense their gender identities at young ages, study suggests."…

Statistics

On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper

The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Animals Are Lower Than Man

Previous post. Only the lowest forms of slavery seek to control the thoughts of the slaves. Also see paragraph 12 for why it's okay to eat meat. THAT RATIONAL CREATURES…

Culture

The Week In Doom — California School Free-For-All Edition

Here are two weeks of Doom crammed into one. Item Bombs away! Either it's WWIII or just one more dead body in the Mideast pleasing the usual suspects. Ben Shapiro…

Statistics

The Political Corruption Of Science — Mandatory Oaths To Diversity Edition

We continue our series of the pozzing of science by Diversity, Inclusion, and Equity (DIE) mavens (the DIE is from Steve Sailer). A mathematician wrote in the Wall Street Journal…

Culture Fun

How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?

A strong no prize this year. Nobody did well enough. Not enough specific predictions, or those that were specific did not come to pass. Doom predictions are too easy: they…

Culture Fun

Register Your Predictions for 2020!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Everybody…

John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026
I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…
Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
"their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…
Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…
gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026
Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…
Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

William M. Briggs

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

The Political Corruption Of Science– U Michigan Inserts Zampolit Into Every Office Edition

The Political Corruption Of Science — Sex Assigned At Birth Edition

On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper

Summary Against Modern Thought: Animals Are Lower Than Man

The Week In Doom — California School Free-For-All Edition

The Political Corruption Of Science — Mandatory Oaths To Diversity Edition

How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?

Register Your Predictions for 2020!

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification