William M. Briggs

Subjective Probability Is Objective

Because certain forms of Bayesian probability, particularly so-called subjective probability, are being taken up in quantum mechanics, it's well to understand just what subjective probability is, if it's anything, and…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Things Which Looks Miraculous But Aren’t

Previous post. Always seek for the genuine article. HOW SPIRITUAL SUBSTANCES DO CERTAIN WONDERFUL THINGS WHICH, HOWEVER, ARE NOT TRULY MIRACLES 1 It was Avicenna's position that matter is much…

Culture

The Week In Doom — Bugmen Eat Bugmeat Edition

Item You will be eating replacement meats within 20 years. Here's why At the same time, concerns about how to feed this expanded populace, along with the impact meat has…

Fun

The Official Death Of Superhero Movies

Not all news is bad. Like this: Melissa McCarthy and Octavia Spencer are ready to save the world on the set of their superhero movie Thunder Force. Here's a live-action…

Culture

The Theology That Justifies Everything

This might seem like inside baseball, but it's worth reading because what happened gives a solid indication of the new world religion that is taking shape. Fr Martin tweeted this.…

Statistics

The Pozzing Of Medicine Continues, Lancet Editor Edition

Listen to this first; it's only a minute. https://twitter.com/DoctorsXr/status/1187377667928141824 My transcription: My name is Richard Horton and I'm editor of The Lancet. The climate emergency that we're facing today, being…

Culture

Cardinal Richelieu On The Necessity Of Non-Education

This excerpt is from The Political Testament of Cardinal Richelieu, chapter II (1642); numbers and paragraphifications have been added to aid readability. (1) Because a knowledge of letters is entirely…

Culture

Transanity — A Genuine Madness Of The Crowds

Remember that one time, right after women were awarded power that they didn't have to be given, but were, when nations all over the West banned alcohol? This was the…

Rudolph Harrier on On Not ReadingMarch 14, 2026
Idonotreadcomments: you are making the wrong observation from bookstores. Certainly that sort of smut is plentiful in bookstores, and this…
Nym Coy on On Not ReadingMarch 13, 2026
Might I interest you in a book? It is called Mumbai Singularity, and it is a mythic cyberpunk detective thriller…
Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026
The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…
Idonotreadcomments on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026
First of all, you only need to visit a big chain bookstore to know that the fiction market is driven…
C-Marie on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026
Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…

William M. Briggs

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

Subjective Probability Is Objective

Summary Against Modern Thought: Things Which Looks Miraculous But Aren’t

The Week In Doom — Bugmen Eat Bugmeat Edition

The Official Death Of Superhero Movies

The Theology That Justifies Everything

The Pozzing Of Medicine Continues, Lancet Editor Edition

Cardinal Richelieu On The Necessity Of Non-Education

Transanity — A Genuine Madness Of The Crowds

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification