William M. Briggs

Reason’s Greetings!, Say Brights to Supers

Stream: Reason's Greetings!, Say Brights to Supers Our Summa Contra Gentiles series continues after New Years. The email salutation began "Reason's Greetings". It continued: Friends. Family. Food. Festivity. What else?…

Statistics

In A Democracy, Everything Is Political. Even Science.

Stream: On the Left, Bad Politics Leads to Bad Science (Insanity & Doom updates resume after Christmas.) "All I Want For Christmas Is Full Communism Now". Not I. It is…

Fun

Any Of You Still Listen To Shortwave?

If you don't know what shortwave is, then you don't listen to it. You probability don't even own a radio that tunes to the shortwave bands (which are above the…

Statistics

Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper

Update at bottom. I was asked by Axel Bojanowski, Science Editor at Der Spiegel to examine the Science paper "Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations" by Anouch Missirian and Wolfram…

Class Statistics

Cliodynamics And The Lack Of A Hari Seldon

There will be no Hari Seldon. But there will be prophets. If there is no Seldon, there will be no psychohistory, the fictional astonishingly accurate mathematical science predicting gross human…

Class Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI

Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! Last time…

Statistics

The Sixth and Best Way to Fix Statistics

Nature had Five ways to fix statistics, which asked a few folks, some of whom are our friends, how to shore up the sandy soil of statistics. Thanks to Al…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Evil is Not Intended

Previous post. Evil is not intended, but it often results because of lack of knowledge of The Good or the will is not directed toward The Good. That evil in…

Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025
...and I saw 5 or 25 in the figure. The division answer never occurred to me. Got all the rest…
Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025
If someone asks a question that is conditional on some evidence or rule that they conveniently (or purposely) leave out,…
McChuck on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025
The answer for the pictured question is obviously '1', as the slot already has a '1' in it, which has…
Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025
Mark, That's exactly it.
Mark on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025
Wittgenstein gave some examples like this in his Remarks on the Foundation of Mathematics, a book I had no business…

William M. Briggs

Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!

Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Class 56: The Best Model!

Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification

England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women

On The Probability Of God

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores

AI & The Dilemma Of Technology

What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?

Class 53: Laplace Was Right!

Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out

Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best

Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting

Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters

IQ Is Not Intelligence

Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!

Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)

Reason’s Greetings!, Say Brights to Supers

In A Democracy, Everything Is Political. Even Science.

Any Of You Still Listen To Shortwave?

Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper

Cliodynamics And The Lack Of A Hari Seldon

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI

The Sixth and Best Way to Fix Statistics

Summary Against Modern Thought: Evil is Not Intended

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification