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Latest Articles
Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data
November 6, 2025
Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For Victims
November 5, 2025
Little Nate’s Plan To Save The World
November 4, 2025
Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education Causes Mass Squealing
November 3, 2025
Stay The Course: Have Some Class
October 30, 2025
Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer Papers
October 29, 2025
UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!
October 28, 2025
Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970s
October 27, 2025
Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way
October 23, 2025
The Triumph Of The Feminine
October 22, 2025
At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?
October 21, 2025
The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had
October 20, 2025
Class 69: Why Parameters Don’t Exist
October 16, 2025
Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living Forever
October 15, 2025
Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”
October 14, 2025
Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice Science
October 13, 2025
Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
October 9, 2025
The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat
October 8, 2025
‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest
October 7, 2025
Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research
October 6, 2025
Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way
October 2, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data

Posted by By Briggs November 6, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For Victims

Posted by By Briggs November 5, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The I-Have-Big-Muscles Fallacy

Harvard graduate walks down the street where a 50-lb sack of cement blocks his way. He reaches down to shift it but discovers that despite all his might the bulk…
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Posted inCulture

Orlando Shooting — Open Thread

Today is the first day of class; I originally had another post scheduled, but since I thought readers would like to discuss recent events, and I haven't had time to…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Chance Is Not A Cause

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Be careful!…
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Posted inCulture

Melody May Be A Learned Response?

Received this email from reader Don Siegel: Greetings. Vis a vis how music is getting worse---I'm a prof at Syr. Univ (Earth Sciences) but also lately, a solo jazz guitarist…
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Posted inFun

Consider The Hand — Guest Post by the Blonde Blombshell

Editor's note As I prepare for class this weekend, I have some guest posts and reader's questions prepared for us. The poor hands of the modern person are becoming nothing…
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Posted inStatistics

Fermi’s Paradox & Gaian Bottlenecks

Democracy (the system) is enough to account for the seeming alien life-form which is Hillary and for whatever that thing is on Trump's head. But as queer as Democracy is…
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Posted inPodcast

Trust Me. I’m A Scientist — WMBriggs Podcast

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dzAsvJpC10 Download MP3. You'll have to listen in. This is the busiest time of year for me, so I haven't the time to write out a transcript of the show.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Brief Explanation Of Occam’s Razor

We're interested in whether some proposition Y is true. One explanation, perhaps causal or deterministic, or even only probabilistic, is X. Thus, Pr(Y | X) is high or equals 1.…
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  1. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  2. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

  3. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

  4. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…

  5. hudbwu on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sNovember 7, 2025

    I didn't come here for ~two months. Then I come back and ... *shit's gotten weird, son.* o.O At least…

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