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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Posted inStatistics

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Posted by By Briggs May 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

Why Americans Left Christianity And Became Nones

The title of the Pew report which we'll discuss is "Why America's 'nones' left religion behind", though, as you can see, I modified it. For good reason. The original Pew…
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Posted inStatistics

Gonorrhea, Wee P-values, and Tax Increases

Adventurous reader Ted Poppke discovered a peer-reviewed paper that, according to the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), proved that increasing sales tax on booze "caused a 24% decrease in gonorrhea cases…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Severe (And Unrecognized) Limitations Of fMRI

So this 44-year-old Frenchman---let's call him Jacques---presented for a "mild left leg weakness". The leg bone being connected to the hip bone, etc., it was eventually discovered that Jacques's "skull…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty Reviewed In The New Criterion

"William Briggs, the civilized world's most amusing statistician." Roger Kimball, author of The Fortunes of Permanence: Culture and Anarchy in an Age of Amnesia, The Rape of the Masters: How…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Our Intellects Are Not Material

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Our intellects…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Reader Query & Assist Request: Health Data In India

Busy Saturday, so a plea from reader Aman Rastogi: Sir, I am a student from Lucknow University, INDIA, pursuing my Masters in Public Health there. Few days back I have…
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Posted inCulture

Islam vs. The West vs. Russia — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I've been asked to share 'my notes' regarding my previous posts about Islam vs. The West (Part I, II, III). Especially where I've said that the only way out for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Stream: Global Warming Alarmists Plead: Save the Children By Not Having Them

Today's post is at The Stream: Global Warming Alarmists Plead: Save the Children By Not Having Them. Global warming will, of course, doom us all. That is, if the models…
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  1. dadgervais on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 8, 2026

    As I (computer engineer, retired) have always maintained: people who believe in mechanical inteligence suffer from "Clever Hans Syndrome". A…

  2. NLR on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 7, 2026

    It appears that Dawkins does not have a well thought out philosophy of consciousness and so he has psyched himself…

  3. jgh on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 7, 2026

    There's an episode of Golden Balls where one contentant understood how The Prisoners' Dilemma worked and succcessfully tricked his opponent…

  4. Johnno on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    Hence we descriptively say in plural... a "calamity of victims." Or a "catastrophe of Expurts." Or an "academy of failures."…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026

    So, three circumlocutors walk into a bar...

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