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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

Posted by By Briggs April 22, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Posted by By Briggs April 20, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

AMO+PDO = Temperature Variation: One Graph Does Not Says It All

Introduction Anthony Watts over at Watts Up With That?---incidentally, a blog title infinitely superior to "William M. Briggs, Statistician"---asked me to comment on Joe D'Aleo and Don Easterbrook's new paper,…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Lottery Simulator; Science Reporting; More

Bit busy today, folks. Here's some interesting links. Typo warning level 5. Incredibly Depressing Mega Millions Lottery Simulator! That's the creator's name for it: I find it exhilarating and nicely…
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Posted inCulture

Predictions of E-Books And Reading Verified?

Just something quick today; I mean written quickly. Typo alert! Yesterday, the Wall Street Journal published "Authors Feel Pinch in Age of E-Books", in which are various observations that appear…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

How To Guarantee Enthusiastic College Students

I Didn't Do My Homework Apathy is contagious. I discovered this after only two of the forty-five students registered for the statistics class I teach bothered to do their homework…
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Posted inBook review Culture Statistics

Reading Lyrics by Robert Gottlieb and Robert Kimball

First, thanks, Google. Aren't you all sweethearts. 10100 != F1 + F4 + F6 + F9. Reading Lyrics: More than a thousand of the finest lyrics from 1900 to 1975.…
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Posted inCulture Fun

USDA Bans Delicacy? Pork Blood Cake Candles Snuffed Out

Continuing our popular theme of pig innards, we focus today on blood, and prove that there is a little vampire in all of us. Yet our bureaucrats seek to disguise…
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Posted inFun Statistics

The Mathematics of Boneless Pork Rectums

Ever wonder what's in those delicious dumplings? What gives them that special tang? The flavor that cannot quite be named? Wonder no further! For the secret has been revealed. And…
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Posted inFun Statistics

The Sports Illustrated curse and regression to the mean

Due to overwhelming demand, today's column is a classic reprint. This originally appeared on 18 January 2008. The headlines of today's New York Daily News is CURSES! It seems the…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    Today's post illustrates a new logic; one has to be insane to understand it. There was a time when insane…

  2. Tars Tarkas on Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not PayApril 22, 2026

    "And it is true because of a combination of innate, hence ineradicable, and environmental conditions. " Blaming the environment is…

  3. Gail Finke on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 22, 2026

    That staff story is bizarre. THAT was the final straw for him, when it sounds like the same story two…

  4. Johnno on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 21, 2026

    " I have never been a conspiracy theorist, for the simple fact that keeping secrets with multiple (tens, hundreds, and…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026

    @Cary Motorcycle accident? No, that was due to covid.

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