My Dearest Supporters, Loyal Readers & Despised Enemies, As I said the other day, 2023 was a Transition Year. Things happened, events occurred, but none of these events had the…
Kevin Gray is back with another question, this time about priors. His last led to the post "Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed." (The answer was…
Anon sent a question about Bertrand's Paradox. The paradox is supposed to show something has gone wrong with our thinking in probability. And it has, but not in the way…
Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…
We have discussed before (and in detail here) how Fisher, inventor of the wee P of which scientists boast ("Look how small my P is!" shouted the excited scientist), was…
Leighton Smith of New Zealand kindly had me on his podcast Wednesday. We discussed, among other matters, my book Everything You Believe Is Wrong. You know, the one my enemies…
We covered this before, but there are indications our All Models chant is not effective, or is not believed. Here is another attempt at showing it is true. So, all…
Take a look-see at this science pic: This is the output from some model, the nature of which is not especially interesting, and the accompanying observations. In other words, predictions…