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The Massively Stupid Idea Of Weekly Testing Of The Unvaxxed — Coronadoom Update CXIII
Posted inStatistics

The Massively Stupid Idea Of Weekly Testing Of The Unvaxxed — Coronadoom Update CXIII

Well, what more can we say that we haven't, and dozens of times? Although there is, here and there, some hope the panic is waning, female Safety Firsters, effeminates and…
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How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?

How'd we do? Put it this way: none of us would have won any awards. Here is the list so you can follow along (perhaps open in a new window).…
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Researchers Who Built Model To Say Vex Saved A Million Lives Announce Vex Saved A Million Lives
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Who Built Model To Say Vex Saved A Million Lives Announce Vex Saved A Million Lives

This is a slow day, with most off the internet, as is right and proper. So I will leave us with this repetition: All models, good or bad, inexpert or…
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We’d Never Be Where We Are Except For Technology — Coronadoom Update CXII
Posted inCulture Statistics

We’d Never Be Where We Are Except For Technology — Coronadoom Update CXII

Increased technology is responsible for the coronadoom bug, panic, and "solutions" tyranny. If our level of technology was less, there would have been no bug, there would have been no…
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Prozac & Its Relatives — Guest Post by Robert Yoho
Posted inStatistics

Prozac & Its Relatives — Guest Post by Robert Yoho

Psychiatry is the drug industry's paradise, as definitions of psychiatric disorders are vague and easy to manipulate. Leading psychiatrists are... at high risk of corruption and, indeed, psychiatrists collect more…
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Readers Wills Himself To Write And Claim We Have No Free Will
Posted inStatistics

Readers Wills Himself To Write And Claim We Have No Free Will

Anon, a sweetheart and buyer of the majestic Everything You Believe Is Wrong, wrote to say my enemies have managed to insert several typos into the book. A not uncommon,…
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We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI
Posted inStatistics

We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI

I PAT MY BACK Before we begin our main update, allow me to congratulate myself. https://twitter.com/MichaelPSenger/status/1472385507099246592 A screenshot of the picture, in case it disappears, is here. I have said…
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How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier
Posted inStatistics

How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier

I know the weaknesses of the terms Expert and expertocracy, and am willing to consider all alternatives. An Expert is a person with training and, more importantly, credentials, in an…
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  1. Jennifer on Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time SeriesMarch 7, 2026

    Ran across this and thought you could be interested: A Combat Scenario-Based Model for Quantifying Ethical Decision?Making in Military AI…

  2. William Wallace on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 6, 2026

    I believe that the anger which creeps into conversations about whether or not AI can become sentiment has nothing to…

  3. NLR on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

  4. Briggs on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    Eric, Darn similar, and (I hope) simplified.

  5. Eric Brown on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    Isn’t this Searle’s Chinese Room argument? Not that I disagree with either of you…

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