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Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause
Posted inStatistics

Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause

Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker's documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a…
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Chimp Out Blamed On Global Cooling
Posted inStatistics

Chimp Out Blamed On Global Cooling

Here's a story you didn't see coming, but should have, given how easily Experts are persuaded by other Experts to believe in each others' Expertology. Headline: "Chimps are spotted ganging…
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The Five+ Waves Of COVID Explained; Vexxination Tyranny; Why They Stopped Reporting Deaths; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXXI
Posted inStatistics

The Five+ Waves Of COVID Explained; Vexxination Tyranny; Why They Stopped Reporting Deaths; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXXI

Our Global Rulers' Motto: Science created the coronadoom, and Science will cure it. Trust The Science! Do not miss the last and most important section this week. It explains the…
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Media Blames Heatwave On Global Warming: I Say Nope
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Media Blames Heatwave On Global Warming: I Say Nope

Okay, hold the emails. I changed the title to "global warming." I used "global cooling" originally only because it irritates to a great extent the ignorant who are always chanting…
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Dreaded Delta Surge Explained (Is it the Vexxine?); Cars Killing More Than COVID; Literal Ministries Of Truth; UK Pingdemic; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXX
Posted inStatistics

Dreaded Delta Surge Explained (Is it the Vexxine?); Cars Killing More Than COVID; Literal Ministries Of Truth; UK Pingdemic; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXX

BRACE YOURSELF How many died of traffic fatalities last week? About 744. On average. Given 38,680 died last year. How many died of the doom? CDC says 163. But that's…
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Models Only Say What They’re Told to Say — The Paper!
Posted inStatistics

Models Only Say What They’re Told to Say — The Paper!

The paper (more like a glorified note, really) "Models Only Say What They’re Told to Say" (by me) will appear in the Springer book Prediction and Causality in Econometrics and…
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France Update: VAERS Suggests As Many Kids Dying From Vexxine as Coronadoom; Another Paper Shows Mask Mandates Don’t Work; Being Fat Is Bad; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIX
Posted inStatistics

France Update: VAERS Suggests As Many Kids Dying From Vexxine as Coronadoom; Another Paper Shows Mask Mandates Don’t Work; Being Fat Is Bad; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIX

FRENCH FARCE https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1414668383316938752 The French nation has descended into Effeminacy. No man may buy or sell with the Mark of the Vex. NEOLOGISM Hyperpole, n: extravagant exaggeration by politicians in…
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How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Posted inStatistics

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
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  1. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Can't agree with Briggs on this, I agree with Tesla; "Today's scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander…

  2. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Willis, I have just about finished a brief answer to you (about 3,000 words), which because of the importance and…

  3. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Eschenbach you're becoming a caricature of modern scientism. I've explained to you why your Aunt Sally is bogus and the…

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    John, I asked a THEORETICAL question. Pointing out that there are real-world options is MEANINGLESS to my question. How about…

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    Eschenbach, card counting was arrived at by an empirically derived process. That's not the same as having bogus statistical theories…

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