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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Contest Winner Announced!

Posted by By Briggs April 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Posted by By Briggs April 13, 2026
Continue Reading
What Magic Tells Us About Propaganda & The End Of The Coronadoom Panic
Posted inCulture

What Magic Tells Us About Propaganda & The End Of The Coronadoom Panic

The coronadoom panic came to its ignominious official end last week. A panic created, embraced, exacerbated, and perpetuated by elites, rulers and Experts. Especially Experts. I was on long drive,…
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Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study
Posted inStatistics

Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study

Headline from 2014: "Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report". Here from NASA is a picture by year of the estimated minimum sea-ice extent, which occurs…
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Bring Back Global Warming — Guest Post by Richard Law
Posted inCulture

Bring Back Global Warming — Guest Post by Richard Law

'Rio de Janeiro is a city in South America. It is the capital of Brazil. It exports coffee and sugar. It has a tropical climate', so wrote the first form…
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What New Laws Criminalizing “Hate Speech” Really Mean
Posted inCulture

What New Laws Criminalizing “Hate Speech” Really Mean

Yesterday we investigated the I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy, which is invoked when academic Experts, baffled their theories are not as loved by others as by themselves, try to explain…
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The I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy
Posted inPhilosophy

The I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy

There is a special kind of argument you hear only from academic Experts. Non-academic non-Experts never use it; or, if they do, I've not seen any example (beyond parroting AEs).…
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What To Do About Black Crime?
Posted inCulture

What To Do About Black Crime?

Note: This blog is mirrored at Substack for those who prefer that format. Here is a video from late last week, a common kind, a kind which you have seen…
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More On The Tyranny Of Experts: CDC & Banning Driving
Posted inCulture

More On The Tyranny Of Experts: CDC & Banning Driving

Want to hear a great joke about our burgeoning Expertocracy? Rochelle Walensky still has her job. Hilarious! Not as funny as England's Experts proposing those under 25 can't drive their…
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If You Had To Choose “Ignore Or Believe All Academics On Climate Change”, Which Is Smarter?
Posted inStatistics

If You Had To Choose “Ignore Or Believe All Academics On Climate Change”, Which Is Smarter?

Update See the Twitter thread (and account) for many more examples. NOBODY has been able to find a word yet that Experts haven't tied to "climate change." Got an email…
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  1. Ronaldo Conneely on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    I usually agree with your analysis of the situation but ( I know everything before the but is a lie)…

  2. C-Marie on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    Am thinking that President Trump can be rescued only by a true apology to all Christians for his rant on…

  3. Robert Arvanitis on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    Alas, it's over. I came originally for the math, browsed the politics. And now it's over. Many tried to quantify…

  4. veco on Another False Flag? — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    https://www.newenglishreview.org/staying-positive-in-dark-times/

  5. Steve on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    I've come to expect much better from Ianto Watt. I'm not talking about the Daniel stuff -- people have and…

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