William M. Briggs

Academics Fear People. They Study Them & Wish They Could Shut Them Up

We are going to explore, in a series of posts, the Mind of The Academic. There is much to say on this depressing-yet-amusing topic, which by itself is worthy of…

Statistics

What The Law Of Large Numbers Really Means

JJ Couey, who hosts a podcast well known to some of you, and friend of the Broken Science Initiative, asked me about the so-called Law of Large Numbers. Jay wonders…

Statistics

Briggs’s Best Broken Science Blast

Here's my talk at the fourth Broken Science Initiative event in Aromas, California, from just over a week ago. (Direct link.) The content in the speech is different than in…

Culture

The Regime Makes Its Move: Federal Power Pre-Fortified — Forever?

TRUMP INDICTED OVER STEALING WHITE HOUSE OFFICE SUPPLIES. "He took a whole box of pens," said Merrick Garland. "This is clearly illegal. It is theft, and I expect all news…

Culture

Experts’ Plans To Push European Citizens Into Poverty To Save The Planet — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Our friend Jaap Hanekamp returns with an essay to remind us it is going to get worse. This essay, slightly modified, first appeared on his site. Experts insist on destroying…

Statistics

Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy

We did this years ago, but it's time for a refresh for new readers. You make a bet with a bookie. You don't want X to happen, where "X" can…

Statistics

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

This one picture proves why you must distrust every new boast from every scientist. Scientists' ideas must be assumed false until they are proven true by people other than themselves.…

Statistics

“AI Will Kill Us All!” Say People Programming AI To Kill Us All

My goodness, what a distinguished list of AI Scientists and "Notable Figures" who have signed the "Statement on AI Risk". Important professors of computer science from top universities. Men, and…

Rich on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 7, 2026
What Blaine said. Thanks.
Chad Jessup on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026
I am very happy for any information you post, so whatever suits your time and interests is fine with me.…
Steve on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026
The bikini rule -- less is more, but it has to cover all the important stuff. As with human bodies,…
Heresolong on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026
Yes.
Jose Miro Julia on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 5, 2026
I'd prefer 3-4 short ones a week.

William M. Briggs

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer

Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

Academics Fear People. They Study Them & Wish They Could Shut Them Up

What The Law Of Large Numbers Really Means

Briggs’s Best Broken Science Blast

The Regime Makes Its Move: Federal Power Pre-Fortified — Forever?

Experts’ Plans To Push European Citizens Into Poverty To Save The Planet — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

“AI Will Kill Us All!” Say People Programming AI To Kill Us All

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification