William M. Briggs

How Naughty Researchers Learn To Imply Cause, Though Unproved, Has Been Discovered

Reading daily doses of WMBriggs.com linked to increases in manliness. Forwarding posts from WMBriggs.com associated with general all-around magnificence. Supporting or donating to WMBriggs.com increases world benevolence levels. Now these…

Philosophy

On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems

I was reading through some of James Franklin's papers on logical probability in an effort to not embarrass myself when I make my speech at the Broken Science Initiative event…

Philosophy

ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say

We covered this before, but there are indications our All Models chant is not effective, or is not believed. Here is another attempt at showing it is true. So, all…

Culture

What The Theory Of Elite Overproduction Misses

The Expertocracy plus DIE plus universal education creates a positive growth feedback of a negative beast. Each element reinforces the other, and each accelerates the mad rush...to where, exactly? Let's…

Fun

Broken Science Initiative Event — 18 February, Phoenix

I'm late (as usual) posting this. All the text below, with my paragraphifications, is from the Broken Science Initiative event page. Reserve Your Ticket You are cordially invited to The…

Statistics

What Can You Replace P-Values & Hypothesis Testing With, Especially When Computing Sample Sizes?

Dr B asks a question about what to do about sample sizes and hypotheses after the scourge of p-values and null hypothesis significance testing are recognized for what they are.…

Statistics

It Was Always Clear Masks Don’t Work In Stopping Respiratory Viruses

Listen to the podcast on YouTube (if they don't whack it for hurting their feelings), BitChute, or Gab. Dear reader, a full-on spacesuit equipped with oxygen tanks, or with filters…

Statistics

Coronadoom Misinformation Model Says What It Was Told To Say

Repeat after me (yes, this includes all you regulars, too): All models only say what they are told to say. Thank you. Now let's see this headline: "COVID-19 misinformation cost…

Johnno on How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?December 31, 2025
I was right about the right! Conservative estimating does work! Always aim for mediocrity! The formula for success! Or at…
John Pate on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 31, 2025
Seems to me the obvious reason for the state of the world as we see it is that aliens are…
Zundfolge on How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?December 31, 2025
Wow, I have never been as far off as I was this last year. I'll have to give some thought…
Chaeremon on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 31, 2025
even when figures relate to observations, mathematics can only help with finding errors in equations -- against measured data. so,…
Nate on How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?December 31, 2025
Happy New Year! I seem to have neglected to make a 2025 prediction (it would have likely been wrong anyway).…

William M. Briggs

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Merry Christmas!

Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science

Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia

Climate Models

Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?

No Class: But Here’s Some Homework

On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed

How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment

Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes

Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist

I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)

The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement

The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids

The Perfect Conspiracy Theory

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

How Naughty Researchers Learn To Imply Cause, Though Unproved, Has Been Discovered

On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems

ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say

What The Theory Of Elite Overproduction Misses

Broken Science Initiative Event — 18 February, Phoenix

What Can You Replace P-Values & Hypothesis Testing With, Especially When Computing Sample Sizes?

It Was Always Clear Masks Don’t Work In Stopping Respiratory Viruses

Coronadoom Misinformation Model Says What It Was Told To Say

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification