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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Meet The Experts Defining Official Disinformation & Official Truths
Posted inCulture

Meet The Experts Defining Official Disinformation & Official Truths

We told you this was happening when it was happening. Not everybody believed it; indeed, most (and here I exclude regular readers) did not. And, worse, most still do not,…
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Pandering To Blacks Contest Sees San Francisco Take Commanding Lead
Posted inCulture

Pandering To Blacks Contest Sees San Francisco Take Commanding Lead

Commentators expressed admiration, but not surprise, when San Francisco took what many are saying is a commanding lead in our once United States' National Black Pandering Contest. "There isn't anybody…
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An Instance Of How “The Science” Is Produced: Gender Equality Edition
Posted inStatistics

An Instance Of How “The Science” Is Produced: Gender Equality Edition

This post is, as they say, in the weeds. But it's necessary for those who want to know how The Science is produced. I saw a tweet, the veracity of…
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Woke Definition: A Stubborn And Hostile Denial Of Reality
Posted inCulture

Woke Definition: A Stubborn And Hostile Denial Of Reality

There is a to-and-fro over the definition of, and the difficulties of defining, woke. For many, like bad art or pornography, they know it when they see it, but they…
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The Western Empire Is Mor(t)ally Wounded — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Western Empire Is Mor(t)ally Wounded — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I have been seeing in these past silent months the latest fin-de-siècle. The end of the cycle. It’s not pretty. At least, not for the Western Caesar. We are now…
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Upcoming Hillsdale Talk, 11 April: Philosophy & Broken Science
Posted inFun

Upcoming Hillsdale Talk, 11 April: Philosophy & Broken Science

I'll be giving a talk at Hillsdale on April 11th. Festivities begin at 5 PM, and continue long into the night (maybe 9 or 10 PM). Do me a favor,…
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The Ersatz Nitrogen Crisis or  Delusional Expertocracy and the Destruction of Dutch Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inCulture

The Ersatz Nitrogen Crisis or Delusional Expertocracy and the Destruction of Dutch Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

This post also ran at Jaap's site. Introduction The Dutch 'nitrogen crisis' revolves around the misconception that the quality of nature is predominantly determined by N-deposition coming from agriculture. That…
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Chinese Researchers Announce Kids Raised By “Sexual Minority” Parents Do Better Than Normal Kids
Posted inStatistics

Chinese Researchers Announce Kids Raised By “Sexual Minority” Parents Do Better Than Normal Kids

A curious, if not bizarre, peer-reviewed paper has emerged, which said things like this: "The quantitative synthesis results suggested that sexual minority families may perform better in children’s psychological adjustment…
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  1. C-Marie on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026

    Sooo sad about Richard Dawkins. I just prayed for Holy Spirit revelation of Jesus Christ to him. Here is hoping…

  2. Rudolph Harrier on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026

    I once had an old freezer and I wasn't sure if it was working properly. Since at the time I…

  3. John Pate on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026

    Dawkins is leaning in to the idea that we've defined consciousness as what we are seeing the AI chatbots produce.…

  4. Phileas Frogg on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 5, 2026

    Push the Red button then order my entire family to do the same, because we are not obligated to risk…

  5. Johnno on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    This is your brain on the Theory of Evolution. Atheists should be restricted from any and all influential positions within…

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