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Dear Quacks & Experts: Your Loss Function Is Not Our Loss Function
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Dear Quacks & Experts: Your Loss Function Is Not Our Loss Function

Note to the colleague who wrote me. I lost your email! You asked excellent questions about the post Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix, which I meant…
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Mask – Model – Medication – Mass  Hysteria — Coronavirus Update LIII
Posted inStatistics

Mask – Model – Medication – Mass Hysteria — Coronavirus Update LIII

MASS HYSTERIA There is already a paper on people going nuts: COVID-19 and the Political Economy of Mass Hysteria by Bagus et al. Abstract (with added paragraphifications by me): In…
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Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…
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Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof
Posted inStatistics

Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof

Mike Lindell, like Time magazine, questioned 2020's election results. Lindell says the election was shifted from Trump to Biden, which he decried. Time used the brand new euphemism fortified to…
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Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition
Posted inStatistics

Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition

Update I'm in Twitter jail again! HAHAHAHA. Supposed to be released 7 PM tonight, if I behave myself. HAHAHAHAHAHA! What our elders wisely called the clash of cultures has under…
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Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII
Posted inStatistics

Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII

EXPERTOLOGY The Daily Mail headline is that "experts" were "baffled" that coronadoom "cases", by which they mean infections, fell by 50%, and that (in another headlines) they were "plummeting". One…
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Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
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Mask Me, Darling—Why We Know Masks Don’t Work: Coronavirus Update LI
Posted inStatistics

Mask Me, Darling—Why We Know Masks Don’t Work: Coronavirus Update LI

MASKS The Fabulous Fauci---who likes seeing himself on camera more than Narcissus adored his reflection---was out last week touting triple, or maybe it was quadruple, masks. After all, if one…
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    True worlds of wisdom. Some years ago, I bonded with a fellow online when we discovered we both don't rush…

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    “Belief clings, but faith lets go.” - Alan W. Watts, The Wisdom of Insecurity: A Message for an Age of…

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    People hold more than one kind of belief (more than the two I am mentioning). There are beliefs that are…

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    "You do not have to believe. You can stay at uncertainty" That is a good point. With regards to the…

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