William M. Briggs

Reader Experiences With Bad Medical & Finance Models

Anons emails about experience with bad modeling. These read very like posts you see here daily. Lightly edited to remove personal information, with links by me. The post about the…

Culture

Lucrative New Medical Specialty Emerging: Purposely Killing Patients

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Many doctors, perhaps tiring of the old ways of medicine with its frustrating disappointments and frequent heartbreaks, are moving into an…

Statistics

How Do You Know If An Experiment Works? Or, Yet Another Argument Against P-values

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Anon asks questions about models (I added the bold question brackets and the link). Pay attention most closely to [Q2], which…

Culture Philosophy

“Listen To The Science!” Is Scientism: “Listen To The Science!” Means “Listen To Me!”

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Our culture is saturated in scientism. Scientism comes in various forms. One is the belief that all knowledge is scientific --…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Everlasting Fire

Previous post. What does the "everlasting fire" mean? HOW INCORPOREAL SUBSTANCES MAY SUFFER FROM BODILY FIRE 1 But a doubt can arise as to the manner in which the devil,…

Class

“More to review from the Biden team” — Open Thread

Special Saturday post. I am delighted to say that I had guessed wrong about Musk. I had thought he'd never fight the Regime in any serious way. Very happy about…

Culture Philosophy

Why The Continuing Appeal Of The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy?

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Ladies and gentlemen, allow me to introduce to you proof that "climate change" has completed its transformation from Science into yet…

Statistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…

shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…
Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
hudbwu, You could be right.
hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…
Lucy Tucker on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 5, 2026
I’m ready to give up the right to vote.

William M. Briggs

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails