William M. Briggs

What Is A Model? We need to know to test between good and bad science

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, and Gab. Before we describe what models are in science, it's best to know, and to never forget, that all models only say…

Statistics

Dutch Regime To Seize Private Land Because Of Faux Nitrogen Crisis – A Brutal Example Of The Science

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Today's podcast has a lot more material than the written post, because, mainly, I was livid over this land grab. It's…

Philosophy

It Takes Just As Much Free Will To Punish As To Do Wrong

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Thing that always cracks me up about anti-free will arguments is the contradictions. Too many of those arguments take this shape:…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Damned

Previous post. It's one way---or the other. ON THE QUALITY OF THE RISEN BODIES AMONG THE DAMNED 1 From these points one can, of course, reasonably consider what sort of…

Fun Statistics

Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1594144435000213505 Before we get to it, and if…

Fun

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. In what is now a tradition, we present for Thanksgiving the death prayer of Old Lodge Skins, which comes at the…

Culture

More Standards Brutally Gutted, Left To Bleed Out In Dark Alleys: LSATs Dropped Because Diversity

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. One thing we should know about models by now is that those that make good, skillful predictions should be trusted at…

Statistics

What Limits Do Experts Have? EPA and Carbon Dioxide as “Pollution”

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. There is a fascinating exchange on the principle of Experts Decide All Things vs. what we might call subsidiarity from the…

shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…
Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…
Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
hudbwu, You could be right.
hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026
Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…
Lucy Tucker on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 5, 2026
I’m ready to give up the right to vote.

William M. Briggs

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails