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Are Movies Getting Worse?
Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Are Movies Getting Worse?

This post originally ran 26 July 2011. I should have mentioned the recency bias in the citizens, and that most critics nowadays are woke dweebs. But this was before the…
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Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus, so go…
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Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values
Posted inStatistics

Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values

We last did third-hand smoking back in 2011. Even then I didn't think the concept would far. How silly can you get? Pretty silly. Thanks to Dan Hughes we have…
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Bayes Theorem and Coronavirus: The Chance You Have It & The Chance You Die
Posted inStatistics

Bayes Theorem and Coronavirus: The Chance You Have It & The Chance You Die

I didn't have a chance to put this in yesterday's update, but I've been asked to do it. It's a classic in every 101 biostat textbook to do Bayes theorem…
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Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…
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Proof That Music Is Growing Worse
Posted inCulture Statistics

Proof That Music Is Growing Worse

This post originally ran 28 September 2011, and is in the top 20 of all posts. If I ever do it again, there is much I'd expand on. The basic…
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Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out

All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven't seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…
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Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!
Posted inClass Statistics

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…
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  1. Phil R on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    My earlier post was longish and probably wasn't that clear. I think two of the problems are a lack of…

  2. Polybius on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Now that I have thought more about this I think one of our biggest problems in all fields from climate…

  3. C. P. Benischek on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Evolution. As Stephen Jay Gould once sort of said, the lack of a single example in the fossil record of…

  4. John Pate on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 15, 2025

    Sigh. Just read a lot more from the London School. The first thing you have to decide, before you even…

  5. Anonymous on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Anything to do with extraterrestrial aliens, aka God, visiting and messing with humans using their superior technology. Plenty of humans…

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