Statistics – Page 103 – William M. Briggs

Bayes Theorem and Coronavirus: The Chance You Have It & The Chance You Die

I didn't have a chance to put this in yesterday's update, but I've been asked to do it. It's a classic in every 101 biostat textbook to do Bayes theorem…

Class Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…

Culture Statistics

Proof That Music Is Growing Worse

This post originally ran 28 September 2011, and is in the top 20 of all posts. If I ever do it again, there is much I'd expand on. The basic…

Class Statistics

Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out

All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven't seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…

Class Statistics

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions

The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…

Class Statistics

Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question

From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, "The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…

Statistics

Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners

Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…

Briggs on Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer PapersOctober 30, 2025
Rich, Yep.
Rich on Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer PapersOctober 30, 2025
Surely the same data "proves" cancer causes alcohol consumption?
Dana on UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!October 29, 2025
What else but a meteorite could have caused the damage to the Tesla windscreen? From Brave browser : A South…
John Pate on Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer PapersOctober 29, 2025
These studies are to give spurious "moral" justification to desired government policies, most obviously here heavy taxation of alcohol. You're…
gareth on UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!October 29, 2025
Given that a met balloon had been released shortly before the impact (and NOTAMed) and that it stopped transmitting at…