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How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?

How'd we do? Put it this way: none of us would have won any awards. Here is the list so you can follow along (perhaps open in a new window).…
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Researchers Who Built Model To Say Vex Saved A Million Lives Announce Vex Saved A Million Lives
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Who Built Model To Say Vex Saved A Million Lives Announce Vex Saved A Million Lives

This is a slow day, with most off the internet, as is right and proper. So I will leave us with this repetition: All models, good or bad, inexpert or…
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We’d Never Be Where We Are Except For Technology — Coronadoom Update CXII
Posted inCulture Statistics

We’d Never Be Where We Are Except For Technology — Coronadoom Update CXII

Increased technology is responsible for the coronadoom bug, panic, and "solutions" tyranny. If our level of technology was less, there would have been no bug, there would have been no…
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Prozac & Its Relatives — Guest Post by Robert Yoho
Posted inStatistics

Prozac & Its Relatives — Guest Post by Robert Yoho

Psychiatry is the drug industry's paradise, as definitions of psychiatric disorders are vague and easy to manipulate. Leading psychiatrists are... at high risk of corruption and, indeed, psychiatrists collect more…
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Readers Wills Himself To Write And Claim We Have No Free Will
Posted inStatistics

Readers Wills Himself To Write And Claim We Have No Free Will

Anon, a sweetheart and buyer of the majestic Everything You Believe Is Wrong, wrote to say my enemies have managed to insert several typos into the book. A not uncommon,…
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We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI
Posted inStatistics

We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI

I PAT MY BACK Before we begin our main update, allow me to congratulate myself. https://twitter.com/MichaelPSenger/status/1472385507099246592 A screenshot of the picture, in case it disappears, is here. I have said…
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How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier
Posted inStatistics

How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier

I know the weaknesses of the terms Expert and expertocracy, and am willing to consider all alternatives. An Expert is a person with training and, more importantly, credentials, in an…
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Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working
Posted inStatistics

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

This is Update CX. https://twitter.com/Babygravy9/status/1470512309181296643 Conspiracy theorists: 27, Woke: 0. VAX SIDE EFFECTS I've been asked by a reader to give a simpler summary than the simple (but still complex)…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    My wife is the only sane, rational, conservative woman I know. Her sisters and nieces and their female friends are…

  2. McChuck on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    Give the vote only to men over 21. One vote per man (must be a citizen, of course). One if…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    Women want government to be "by consensus", like Rome's Second Triumvirate.

  4. shawn marshall on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026

    If only a married man and woman had one vote to cast as a couple the decline of the USA…

  5. Johnno on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsFebruary 1, 2026

    So instead of any actual fieldwork and gathering physical materials and samples, will the scientists now be using digital replicas…

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