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Massive Over-Certainties In Medicine: Bad Statistics, Bad Experiments
Posted inStatistics

Massive Over-Certainties In Medicine: Bad Statistics, Bad Experiments

Ready to Follow The Science? Let's listen to the lamentations of its lecturers and lovers. The case against science is straightforward: much of the scientific literature, perhaps half, may simply…
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How Academic Psychology Affects Brains Of Academic Psychologists Studying How Climate Change Affects Brains
Posted inStatistics

How Academic Psychology Affects Brains Of Academic Psychologists Studying How Climate Change Affects Brains

Yesterday I made the claim that academic psychology contained vastly more "banality, ephemera, and outright enforced mandatory quackery than real psychology." This was proved by a paper written by a…
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Probabilities For Unique Events, Like Nuclear War, Exists
Posted inStatistics

Probabilities For Unique Events, Like Nuclear War, Exists

This will appear obscure to you. It isn't. The errors here are fundamental, and cascade all throughout science. They account for, in part, why science has become so bad. The…
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Pfizer Adverse Events List Released: Plus An Update Of VAERS Analysis: J&J Deaths, Pfizer Injuries Younger
Posted inStatistics

Pfizer Adverse Events List Released: Plus An Update Of VAERS Analysis: J&J Deaths, Pfizer Injuries Younger

The judge-ordered release of the Pfizer docs happened this week (full link). Just when I thought we'd kicked the coronadoom habit. I don't want it to get lost: what we're…
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The Last (Regular) Coronadoom Update!
Posted inStatistics

The Last (Regular) Coronadoom Update!

This will be the last regular coronadoom update. I've already these last three weeks given up on numbering them. Almost two hundred, all tolled---get it? This will certainly not be…
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Bertrand’s Paradox — Solved!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bertrand’s Paradox — Solved!

Anon sent a question about Bertrand's Paradox. The paradox is supposed to show something has gone wrong with our thinking in probability. And it has, but not in the way…
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Canada Votes To Continue Martial Law, Even As Elsewhere Rulers Signal Their Desire to Move On
Posted inStatistics

Canada Votes To Continue Martial Law, Even As Elsewhere Rulers Signal Their Desire to Move On

I want to remind you that our side, except for niggling details, and except for the odd conspiracy theory or two we're still waiting to have verified, has been right…
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Harvard Demonstrates How Not To Do Science In New Self-Confirming Mask Paper
Posted inStatistics

Harvard Demonstrates How Not To Do Science In New Self-Confirming Mask Paper

Now I ask you: If you have a computer and want to do a simulation, you must write the code for it. Yes? It doesn't matter what form this code…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Logic, empiricism, wisdom... These solvents are without impact for people who have, so often, survived them. I believe this is…

  2. spetzer86 on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    It's interesting that the commenters using AI prove the point that the use of a model yielding apparently random results…

  3. JH on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    When brilliant minds join forces with advanced computers that execute tasks with precision and speed by following instructions, they achieve…

  4. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Post script. Looks like you are hiding well, for now, from the AI in the sky. I asked it if…

  5. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Did not read the article, just copy/pasted the number list to ChatGPT and it got right back with: Yes —…

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