Statistics – Page 97 – William M. Briggs

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…

Statistics

Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions

The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…

Class Statistics

Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question

From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, "The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…

Statistics

Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners

Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…

Culture Statistics

Experts Mystified Why Gender Dysphoria Increasing

Here's the headline: Cases of gender dysphoria in Swedish teenage girls up 1,500 percent since 2008. The Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare says that the number of cases…

Class Statistics

Coronavirus Statistics: R Code Included! — Updated With Hack To Adjust For New Reporting Methods

Intro I thought it would be fun to turn the daily coronavirus predictions I've been making into statistics class, complete with code. There are two parts to this: (1) the…

Statistics

Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores

This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…

Statistics

You Can’t Predict The Unpredictable

There is, or might even not be, some BAD THING ahead of us. I don't know what it is, and you don't know what it is, and nobody knows what…

NLR on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025
Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…
Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025
Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…
polybius on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025
If I were God the word would not be as it is The world is as it is therefore I…
Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 31, 2025
Steve, Not only do I admit it, I insist on it, and say so above. Cathoics/Orthodox are largely educated in…
Steve on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 30, 2025
@Briggs, "Many say various oaths and whatnot, but looking at their behavior it’s clear most have no idea what these…