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How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?

How'd we do? Put it this way: none of us would have won any awards. Here is the list so you can follow along (perhaps open in a new window).…
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Register Your Predictions for 2022!
Posted inCulture Fun

Register Your Predictions for 2022!

My Dear Friends, and, yes, Enemies, Happy New Year. As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at…
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Propagandists Boast Of Finagling Wikipedia: Here’s How To Have Wikipedia Revenge
Posted inCulture

Propagandists Boast Of Finagling Wikipedia: Here’s How To Have Wikipedia Revenge

It is good to take pride in your work. It is good, too, to show enthusiasm. And when a job has been completed in an exemplary fashion, it is sometimes…
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How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier
Posted inStatistics

How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier

I know the weaknesses of the terms Expert and expertocracy, and am willing to consider all alternatives. An Expert is a person with training and, more importantly, credentials, in an…
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Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working
Posted inStatistics

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

This is Update CX. https://twitter.com/Babygravy9/status/1470512309181296643 Conspiracy theorists: 27, Woke: 0. VAX SIDE EFFECTS I've been asked by a reader to give a simpler summary than the simple (but still complex)…
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A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps
Posted inCulture Statistics

A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps

This is update CIX. Let's summarize, shall we? My first post on the panic was 27 January 2020: "Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus". Taleb almost at…
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Free First Chapter in Everything You Believe Is Wrong, The Book All Woke Fear
Posted inBook review Culture

Free First Chapter in Everything You Believe Is Wrong, The Book All Woke Fear

Who is this book for? Before I answer that excellent question, let me first show why the book is necessary, if you have a moment. Watch this thirty second clip.…
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How We’ll Know If The Vax Is Killing Kids —  Coronavirus Update CV
Posted inStatistics

How We’ll Know If The Vax Is Killing Kids — Coronavirus Update CV

DEAD BODIES https://twitter.com/le_Parisien/status/1457786009232424964 Here is a thread of young men, mostly athletes, who have recently dropped dead from heart attacks and the like (clots, etc.). Many such cases. Many such…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?March 30, 2026

    There have been many bad popes, but also many wonderful ones. Pope Saint John Paul II was, well, saintly. His…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?March 30, 2026

    If our rights derive from God, and if the pope is God's primary interlocutor (Pontifax Maximus) can we sue the…

  3. Robert Arvanitis on Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?March 30, 2026

    You are correct in one point. The American enterprise, unlike all previous societies, is for all Men. Not based on…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Logic, empiricism, wisdom... These solvents are without impact for people who have, so often, survived them. I believe this is…

  5. spetzer86 on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    It's interesting that the commenters using AI prove the point that the use of a model yielding apparently random results…

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