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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Give Up Carbon For Lent?

Ought to be easy to give up carbon for Lent, as the Global Catholic Climate Movement suggests1. Step one: don't exhale and don't eat---your breath and food are chock full…
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NEW PAPER: Why Models Run Hot: Results From An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model
Posted inStatistics

NEW PAPER: Why Models Run Hot: Results From An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Here's our press release. See also the Daily Mail. WHAT WENT WRONG? A major…
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Posted inStatistics

Der Spiegel Asks About Global-Warming-Causes-Syrian-Civil-War Paper

That peer-reviewed Colin Kelley et al. paper "Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought", which the traddy media is portraying like Wired did---e.g. How…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Government Witch Hunt Of Scientists Begins: DOJ To Join In? Update! Inhofe Fights Back

Please help publicize this calumny. Agree with me about this. If---and I only say if---the global-warming-of-doom we have been promised is false, then there is nothing for government to do…
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Posted inCulture

More On The Pope And Global Warming

Any non-scientist civilian can be forgiven, if it is not his business to know about the climate, to follow the majority and claim that global warming, a.k.a. climate change, a.k.a.…
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Posted inFun

Help This Reader Out: Best Science Material For Kids?

A reader writes (I've stripped out personal details): Dr. Briggs, I recently came across your work on The Stream. I was hoping you could point me to a resource or…
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Posted inStatistics

What Evidence Would Persuade You That Man-Made Climate Change Is Real?

Somebody named Ronald Bailey (he isn't anybody I know) at the inaptly named Reason asked the good question which heads this post. Second thought: the question is awful. No scientist…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass ShootingJune 3, 2025

    Tars Tarkas, you haven't gotten the new firmware update. Pew Research now defines the generations as: Gen X - 1965-1980…

  2. NLR on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 3, 2025

    People are willing to take advice from someone with greater knowledge or understanding, provided that the experts is trustworthy and…

  3. Phil R on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 3, 2025

    Not sure if relevant, but short personal anecdote. My wife used to work for a pest control company. one time…

  4. JH on Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know BestJune 3, 2025

    Of course, experts are only considered experts when they say what you want to hear.

  5. JH on Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass ShootingJune 3, 2025

    If you believe it is incorrect to conclude that a person with a higher IQ score tends to possess greater…

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