Posted inCulture Philosophy
We Don’t Know Anything
The Appeal to Authority is not a formal fallacy, but an "informal" one, a fancy way of admitting that arguments in the form of "Because I said so" are often…
Posted inStatistics
Paper Claims Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change And Violence. Nonsense.
When does more crime happen, in winter or summer? Why? Too easy. How about this one: according to the FBI, what was the violent crime rate over time? No need…
Posted inStatistics
Yet Another Author Claims Statistically Significant Temperature Change. 99.999%!
Update 6 Sep 2014 Yet another another another study has claimed "statistical significance", this one by Philip Kokica, Steven Crimpc, and Mark Howdend. "A probabilistic analysis of human influence on…
Posted inStatistics
Live From Heartland Climate Conference, Wrap Up
Profound thanks I cannot say enough about the generosity of my benefactor, who not only footed the bill for my trip, but wined and dined and rummed our Secret Society…
Posted inFun Statistics
Climate Hustle, Readers Write
Hustling along I was over at the UN yesterday and met Marc Marano, who interviewed me for his upcoming documentary tentatively titled Climate Hustle. With fedora jauntily tipped back to…
Posted inCulture
The Strange Case Of Robert F. Kennedy Jr: Or, Jail Climate Deniers!
No, this isn't a shooting-fish-in-a-barrel take-down of yet another bug-witted politician who has stayed long past his expiration date. We're after something deeper today. Here in a piece ("What States'…
Posted inCulture
Global Warming Update: Titanic Sunk! Contest Update: Other Historical Events. Update: Not Me!
Been a while since I looked out the climate window, because why? Because I figured there'd be nothing to see. After two decades of failed forecasts I assumed most modelers…
Posted inStatistics
Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example
Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…
