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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…
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Posted inFun

IPCC Intensifies Search For Missing Global Warming

We all know, agree, believe, and desire that the end is nigh, that the tipping point to climate chaos is only minutes away, that we've already seen and suffered the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

We Don’t Know Anything

The Appeal to Authority is not a formal fallacy, but an "informal" one, a fancy way of admitting that arguments in the form of "Because I said so" are often…
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Posted inStatistics

Paper Claims Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change And Violence. Nonsense.

When does more crime happen, in winter or summer? Why? Too easy. How about this one: according to the FBI, what was the violent crime rate over time? No need…
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Posted inStatistics

Live From Heartland Climate Conference, Wrap Up

Profound thanks I cannot say enough about the generosity of my benefactor, who not only footed the bill for my trip, but wined and dined and rummed our Secret Society…
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Posted inStatistics

Yet Another Author Claims Statistically Significant Temperature Change. 99.999%!

Update 6 Sep 2014 Yet another another another study has claimed "statistical significance", this one by Philip Kokica, Steven Crimpc, and Mark Howdend. "A probabilistic analysis of human influence on…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Climate Hustle, Readers Write

Hustling along I was over at the UN yesterday and met Marc Marano, who interviewed me for his upcoming documentary tentatively titled Climate Hustle. With fedora jauntily tipped back to…
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Posted inCulture

The Strange Case Of Robert F. Kennedy Jr: Or, Jail Climate Deniers!

No, this isn't a shooting-fish-in-a-barrel take-down of yet another bug-witted politician who has stayed long past his expiration date. We're after something deeper today. Here in a piece ("What States'…
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  1. William Wallace on New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest BountyAugust 4, 2025

    See the Python crew in Meaning of Life when the organ donor man shows up at the home to collect.…

  2. Brad Hewitt on New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest BountyAugust 4, 2025

    Taking a step closer to making Michael Chrichton's "Coma", a reality.

  3. JH on New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest BountyAugust 4, 2025

    This post reminds me of one of the arguments against the death penalty:  the risk of executing an innocent person.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest BountyAugust 4, 2025

    See Monty Python and the Holy Grail; "Bring out your dead".

  5. The True Nolan on New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest BountyAugust 4, 2025

    Reports claim Canada plans to euthanize 15 million citizens in the next 20 years. Well, over 20 years? 20 years…

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