Title of today's post is taken from article of the same name in Nature by William Sutherland, David Spiegelhalter, Mark Burgman. Several readers asked me to comment. I'll assume you've…

Originally seen on Real Science, and culled from the US Department of Energy (thank you, Government!), comes this informative picture: Environmental activists are surely taking notes on the Democratic People's…

Three-card Monte Pseudo FalsificationRead Part I Take the various theories of the doom which await us when global warming finally strikes. Like Sharknadoes. Or, better, take the theory of global…

The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they will sometimes be better or worse. Are things different now?…

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…

A major peer-reviewed paper by four senior researchers has exposed grave errors in an earlier paper in a new and unknown journal that had claimed a 97.1% scientific consensus that…