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Posted inStatistics

Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!

It's probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was "#1 New Release in Epistemology" then "#1 New…
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Posted inStatistics

The Deadly Sin Of Reification Strikes Again!

https://twitter.com/TheRickWilson/status/725150630441000960 If you can't see the tweet, and tweets are ephemeral, the screen shot is also given. Now I do not give a damn about the election, so please not…
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Posted inStatistics

The Four Errors in Mann et al’s “The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth”

Michael E. Mann and four others published the peer-reviewed paper "The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth" in Nature: Scientific Reports (DOI: 10.1038/srep19831). I shall call this authors of this paper…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

FiveThirtyEight Weighs In With Some Odd Affirmative Action Statistics

FiveThirtyEight ran the piece "Here's What Happens When You Ban Affirmative Action In College Admissions" that ran some dicey stats. Affirmative Action is, as all know, the practice of rewarding…
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Posted inStatistics

Keenan’s $100-Grand Climate Challenge & Randomness

Lots of people are asking me about Douglas Keenan's challenge to identify which time series meets a certain criterion. If our betters are as good as they say at identifying…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Data Do Not Have Means: Or, The Deadly Sin of Reification Strikes Again!

No, data do not have means. Nor do they have variances, autocorrelations, partial or otherwise, nor moments; nor do they have any other statistical characteristic you care to name. Data…
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Posted inStatistics

Tide Gauge Locations And Sea Level Rise, Some Statistical Concerns

Marcel Crok asked me to comment on the peer-reviewed paper "Tide gauge location and the measurement of global sea level rise" Beenstock (yes) and others in the journal Environmental and…
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Posted inStatistics

It’s World Statistics Day! Death To P-Values, Hypothesis Tests, And False Ascriptions Of Cause! #StatsDay15

Who said the UN doesn't do anything useful? Courtesy of that august body, it's World Statistics Day! Official statistics help decision makers develop informed policies that impact millions of people.…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    I'm not worried about "climate change" or "covid". I'm worried about what BS the money-hungry and power-hungry, and the useful…

  2. Tars Tarkas on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    "The graph is not normalized by number of scientists. In 1960, there were far fewer scientists than there are now.…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    This is probably wishful thinking but...might it be the academic climate that has changed?.....nah

  4. _Jim on You Can’t Con An Honest Man & The Case of Jason ArdayAugust 14, 2026

    And, just like that, he (apparently) self-exterminates. Found unresponsive and declared deceased where they found him today, Friday the 14th…

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    C-Marie. Look around you. Virtually all the ugly woman who have corrupted the western world in the last 50 years…

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