Search Results for “model” – Page 12

NEW PAPER: Why Models Run Hot: Results From An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Here's our press release. See also the Daily Mail. WHAT WENT WRONG? A major…

Book review Philosophy Statistics

An Introduction To Uncertainty: Probability, Statistics, and Modeling of All Kinds

This is a teaser, the first part of a 3,200-word narrative outline for the book that I've started to shop around. The current title is in the headline. Regular readers…

Philosophy Statistics

The True Meaning Of Statistical Models

This came up yesterday (again, as it does often), so I figure one more stab is in order. Because the answer isn't simple, I had to write a lot, which…

Statistics

The IPCC’s And McKitrick’s “Hiatus” Time Series Models

Several readers asked me to look at Ross McKitrick's paper "HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series", which is receiving the usual…

Culture Statistics

HANDY Not So Dandy: NASA-Funded Mathematical Model Of Doom

Mathematically minded Remember back in the 1990s when otherwise intelligent people would look to the scientific literature and say, "Those guys must be right. They used a computer model." A…

Culture Fun Statistics

Best Picture Oscar Winner: Model Prediction

For several years I have been predicting (with perfect accuracy) the best picture Oscar. (See this and this for past years.) The "model" pick for this year is Captain Phillips.…

Statistics

Why Falsifiability, Though Flawed, Is Alluring: Part II Climate Model Example

Three-card Monte Pseudo FalsificationRead Part I Take the various theories of the doom which await us when global warming finally strikes. Like Sharknadoes. Or, better, take the theory of global…

Philosophy Statistics