Search Results for “model” – Page 15

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II

Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model's integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast…

Statistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part I

Would you check the results of a model with another model? Before you answer, be sure you know what the question is. A model---whether it is physical, statistical, mathematical, or…

Philosophy Statistics

All Models Are Not Wrong

George Box said, "Remember that all models are wrong; the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful." This is usually misremembered as the…

Podcast Statistics

Podcast Radio Show â€“ Episode #4: Belief in Climate Models

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_14oct2009_0004.mp3[/podcast] On today's episode: Science and skeptical bloggers A small article in last week's Science magazine frets that skeptical bloggers are teasing climate scientists over their failed predictions. Bloggers are…

Philosophy Statistics

Models, theories, consistency, and truth

Ready? Put on your best straight face, recall that global temperatures have not increased for a decade, and that it's actually been getting cooler, then repeat with Brenda Ekwurzel, of…

Statistics

Why multiple climate model agreement is not that exciting

There are several global climate models (GCMs) produced by many different groups. There are a half dozen from the USA, some from the UK Met Office, a well known one…

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Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Here are a few typical photographs or stills from videos provided by our most beneficent government in its recent "release" of UFO files. (You will all recall my recent UFO…

Statistics

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Since we had so much fun with the never-gonna-happen Red-Blue Button dilemma, I present to you the HR trilemma. A New & Improved puzzler with 50% more lemma! You have…

C-Marie on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 24, 2026
God bless you, dear Matt, and all yours, all the days, and thank you for your faithfulness to our Father,…
spaceranger on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026
Two things I can never figure out are UFO pictures and police body cam videos.
Dave Narby on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026
There's been some pretty clear ones lately, at least to the resolution of the camera used, e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pcEEXLOORLI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zkZ3x1T0QU This…
James on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026
The same logic applies to the phenomenon of "ball lightning". It sounds credible, but there are no photos of it…
Uncle Mike on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 21, 2026
Please enjoy your well-earned respite. Warmth is indeed a boon and blessing -- it's in the eighties here today and…