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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
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The Week In Doom — Cuck-A-Doodle-Do! Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Cuck-A-Doodle-Do! Edition

Item 'I understand my wife's lived experience better': meet the men who have taken their wives' surnames For Nick Black, the decision to take his wife's name was part of…
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On That Fluoride-IQ Study & Statistical Silliness
Posted inStatistics

On That Fluoride-IQ Study & Statistical Silliness

I am in the Northwoods at the water's edge, far from the teeming masses, and I only had time to glance through this new study that claims that women who…
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The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes
Posted inClass Statistics

The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes

The WSJ on 27 June 2019 published an essay by William Poundstone on the hoary Doomsday Argument. Many are fooled by this equation, which contains a fundamental, even glaring, flaw.…
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Road Rage: Paper Says Living Near Road Causes Dementia
Posted inStatistics

Road Rage: Paper Says Living Near Road Causes Dementia

Dust is thrilling researchers these days. Dust, or the more scientific sounding PM2.5, is the next greatest struggle after global warming. We've already seen attempts to prove dust, as measured…
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A Failed Argument Against Free Will: Predicting Actions
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Failed Argument Against Free Will: Predicting Actions

It is always hilarious when people rail against free will, who are especially flummoxed that Common Man believes in free will, and say "If only people realized their choices weren't…
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Transgender Madness Update
Posted inCulture

Transgender Madness Update

It is impossible for a man to become a woman. It is possible, and growing more frequent, for a man to pretend to be or to believe he is a…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
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