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Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned

This week traditionally is a slow week on the blog, so let me have a go at explaining something I've explained a few hundred times before, a thing which has…
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In Which We Answer The Pressing Question: Is Science Growing Stupider?
Posted inStatistics

In Which We Answer The Pressing Question: Is Science Growing Stupider?

I was asked this question the other day: "Is science becoming stupider?" I was forced to answer this way: "Boy, howdy! Science will be lucky to reach stupid the end…
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David Stove Exposes Karl Popper’s Wee P!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

David Stove Exposes Karl Popper’s Wee P!

We have discussed before (and in detail here) how Fisher, inventor of the wee P of which scientists boast ("Look how small my P is!" shouted the excited scientist), was…
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Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…
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Lancet Says 1 in 6 Worldwide Deaths by Pollution: 67% More Than Coronadoom
Posted inStatistics

Lancet Says 1 in 6 Worldwide Deaths by Pollution: 67% More Than Coronadoom

You've seen the headline, "World Ends: Favored Victims Hardest Hit," and you've laughed. The Noble Victims differ, slightly, by country. There is no class of being nobler or respected or…
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Global Warming To Create Cold Which Will Cause Mass Extinctions: Experts’ Model
Posted inStatistics

Global Warming To Create Cold Which Will Cause Mass Extinctions: Experts’ Model

Reporter Leslie Stahl once had herself filmed walking by a power plant's smokestack. She said, "There could be anything coming out of there." Unless "we" acted. She asked her ardent…
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Efforts At Officially Defining Scientific Disinformation Continue
Posted inStatistics

Efforts At Officially Defining Scientific Disinformation Continue

Phrases like scientifically valid, the late great philosopher David Stove taught us, signal distress. A writer wants to say valid, a strength word, but somehow can't bring himself to this…
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Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.
Posted inStatistics

Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.

With the waning of the coronadoom panic, and our elites unable to juice sufficient consternation over Russia, they will have to turn to other objects to monger their fear. Global…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…

  3. Uncle Mike on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI isn't the entity smoothing the data. The alleged decline in Arctic sea ice was a key assertion in Algore's…

  4. JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026

    The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…

  5. JH on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI can be ‘gullible’ because it takes all the information fed into its optimization or backpropagation system. In many tasks,…

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