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Global Warming To Create Cold Which Will Cause Mass Extinctions: Experts’ Model
Posted inStatistics

Global Warming To Create Cold Which Will Cause Mass Extinctions: Experts’ Model

Reporter Leslie Stahl once had herself filmed walking by a power plant's smokestack. She said, "There could be anything coming out of there." Unless "we" acted. She asked her ardent…
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How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Posted inStatistics

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
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Why You Shouldn’t Trust Epidemiologists: Natural Gas & Elderly Deaths Edition
Posted inStatistics

Why You Shouldn’t Trust Epidemiologists: Natural Gas & Elderly Deaths Edition

I'm always on about Experts, which are credentialed trained individuals who support the regime, so I thought it well to show Experts in action. One way is through the use…
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Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification
Posted inPhilosophy

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

We continue our series of wondering about the foundations of science. Not only is mechanistic materialism false, for the many reasons we'll discuss, but it is a thoroughly enervating philosophy.…
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Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?
Posted inStatistics

Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?

The only thing right about that new Sturgis Biker paper everybody is talking about is the opening quotation from somebody calling himself Smash Mouth (asterisks original): "Now we're all here…
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Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values
Posted inStatistics

Thirdhand Smoking: A Triumph Of Wee P-Values

We last did third-hand smoking back in 2011. Even then I didn't think the concept would far. How silly can you get? Pretty silly. Thanks to Dan Hughes we have…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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How Bad Science Becomes The Science: Climate & Public Health Example
Posted inPodcast Statistics

How Bad Science Becomes The Science: Climate & Public Health Example

This post is also available as a podcast. My voice improves. We're working on putting these into a regular feed. Or watch at YouTube. In my not-yet-banned talk on the…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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