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Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London
Posted inStatistics

Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London

Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. https://twitter.com/MayorofLondon/status/1554464060732735488 An incredible result, says the mayor of London. Let's see how this incredible result came to…
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It Was Always Clear Masks Don’t Work In Stopping Respiratory Viruses
Posted inStatistics

It Was Always Clear Masks Don’t Work In Stopping Respiratory Viruses

Listen to the podcast on YouTube (if they don't whack it for hurting their feelings), BitChute, or Gab. Dear reader, a full-on spacesuit equipped with oxygen tanks, or with filters…
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Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause
Posted inStatistics

Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause

Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker's documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a…
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Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests
Posted inStatistics

Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests

This is from Gerd Gigerenzer's "Mindless statistics" in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I'm giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer).…
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The Common Cause In All Reproducibility Crises
Posted inStatistics

The Common Cause In All Reproducibility Crises

Here is a cartoon, but a revealing one. Type "reproducibility crisis in" in your search engine and let it suggest the ending of the sentence, as we did here: Science,…
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The New CDC Masks Mandate Study Is Not Good
Posted inStatistics

The New CDC Masks Mandate Study Is Not Good

https://twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1442965194150457344 How would you check if mask mandates worked in schools? I can think of only one way. Contrast kids in schools with mandates and in those without. Get them…
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Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids
Posted inStatistics

Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids

Lost count of the number of "studies" that feel---not think---that they must invoke terror to justify their undertaking. Take this peer-reviewed gem from Nature Communications by Robbie M. Parks and…
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More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics

Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any---I said any---dataset x. And all it takes is one---I said…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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