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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
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Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way

Claims of control are almost always false or misleading. "Controlling for" sex or age or anything in probability models is not true control. It's just adding things to models. Vast…
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Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
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Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

If you cite, enjoy, or create "research" or "studies", this post is a must. I've eschewed all math (given next time in The Wrong Way) and focused entirely on the…
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Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This
Posted inStatistics

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…
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Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To Say
Posted inStatistics

Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To Say

I beg your indulgence, dear reader. Please stay with me for these introductory paragraphs. I want to teach you how to read these papers so that you are well equipped…
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Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong

We want Pr(Hypothesis true|Evidence) but get Pr(Data we didn't see | Hypothesis false). This makes no sense, but I promise that is what is done. My friends, it gets real…
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Class 57: The Second Best Model
Posted inStatistics

Class 57: The Second Best Model

We want Pr(Y|X) where Y is a question about the world and X all/everything/in toto of what we assume is probative. That's not what we get usually. But we should!…
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  1. RANDOM TIDS & BITS- Thu 3/20/24- – WAXX on The Sports Illustrated curse and regression to the meanNovember 6, 2025

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    Most of the time papers only have the first initial in the citation author list - how the heck am…

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