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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
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Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way

Do not conduct or trust any regression, or any probability model, before you understand what "control" means and does NOT mean. NO CLASS NEXT WEEK. Video https://youtu.be/_ON42EEGrb4 Links: YouTube *…
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Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way

Claims of control are almost always false or misleading. "Controlling for" sex or age or anything in probability models is not true control. It's just adding things to models. Vast…
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Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
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Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

If you cite, enjoy, or create "research" or "studies", this post is a must. I've eschewed all math (given next time in The Wrong Way) and focused entirely on the…
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Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This
Posted inStatistics

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…
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Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To Say
Posted inStatistics

Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To Say

I beg your indulgence, dear reader. Please stay with me for these introductory paragraphs. I want to teach you how to read these papers so that you are well equipped…
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Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong

We want Pr(Hypothesis true|Evidence) but get Pr(Data we didn't see | Hypothesis false). This makes no sense, but I promise that is what is done. My friends, it gets real…
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  1. spaceranger on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    The online world is our graven image and celebrity culture our false idol.

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    One thing I am always grateful for (well, 4 days a week) is being able to enjoy your posts. Thank…

  3. Uncle Mike on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    Gratitude (n.) mid-15c., "good will," from Latin gratus "thankful, pleasing, agreeable" related to Latin gratis "favor, mercy, virtue" (source of…

  4. Tracy Platt on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025

    I think Rudolf comes closest except for this being a garbage problem. My guess is we will see similar arguments…

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    Mr Harrier is on the right lines: see previous blog where I was berating sundry for worrying about using probability…

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