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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Paper Finds Pattern In Primes: What About Randomness & Chance?

Here's the headline in Nature: "Peculiar pattern found in 'random' prime numbers", an article which opens "Two mathematicians have found a strange pattern in prime numbers -- showing that the…
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Posted inStatistics

American Statistical Association Statement On Statistical Significance & P-values, With My Comments

Editorial Note: I had this originally scheduled to go Monday, but due to Stream's Creatorgate piece showing up yesterday, I delayed this by a day. I think I only have…
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Posted inStatistics

The Four Errors in Mann et al’s “The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth”

Michael E. Mann and four others published the peer-reviewed paper "The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth" in Nature: Scientific Reports (DOI: 10.1038/srep19831). I shall call this authors of this paper…
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Posted inStatistics

It’s World Statistics Day! Death To P-Values, Hypothesis Tests, And False Ascriptions Of Cause! #StatsDay15

Who said the UN doesn't do anything useful? Courtesy of that august body, it's World Statistics Day! Official statistics help decision makers develop informed policies that impact millions of people.…
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Posted inStatistics

Why Statistics Can’t Discover Cause, And Bad Priors

My mailbag is filling up. Today two questions from readers, both about statistics. Feel free to send yours in on any subject. Tomorrow is a doozy. Question 1 From reader…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Hear Briggs Speak Free on Why You’re Doing Statistics Wrong

Hear Briggs Speak Free! Where by "Free" I mean you pay my expenses. Here are the details. Hear the One And Only William M. Briggs The Statisticians to the Stars!…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Philosophy Of Uncertainty: An Introduction. Complete Preface. Update

Le livre, he is done! I yesterday sent a proposal to a philosophy editor at Cambridge. Not enough equations or pictures in it to pique the interest of the statistics…
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Posted inStatistics

Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead

https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on On Not ReadingMarch 14, 2026

    Idonotreadcomments: you are making the wrong observation from bookstores. Certainly that sort of smut is plentiful in bookstores, and this…

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  3. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

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    First of all, you only need to visit a big chain bookstore to know that the fiction market is driven…

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    Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…

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