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Posted inStatistics

How The IPCC Buried Evidence Showing Good News About Global Warming

Here is the Executive Summary from our friends Marcel Crok and Nicholas Lewis in their report A Sensitive Matter which is available at the Global Warming Policy Foundation (preprinted by…
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Posted inStatistics

Robert Heinlein And The Distinction Between Scientist vs Academician

Christos Argyropoulos ‏(@ChristosArgyrop) asked me to comment on his post of the same title at the blog Statistical Reflections of a Medical Doctor. Heinlein: One can judge from experiment, or…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Regression Really Is

Bookmark this one, will you, folks? If there's one thing we get more questions about and that is more abused than regression, I don't know. So here is the world's…
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Posted inStatistics

How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example

Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Objective Bayes Vs. Logical Probability (Vs. Frequentism)

Reader and colleague JH has rightly taken me to task (via email) for incorrectly calling, or rather misleadingly labeling, logical probability "objective Bayes." She pointed to this set of lecture…
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Posted inStatistics

An Ensemble Of Models Is Completely Meaningful, Statistically: Update 2

The Answer to Senn will continue on Monday. Look for my Finger Lakes winery tour tasting notes Sunday! Several readers asked me to comment on an ensemble climate forecasting post…
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Posted inStatistics

Every Family Has Children Until They Have A Boy: Probability Stumper

Reader Bryan Davies quoted a poser from Math Overflow (have we heard of that?) which read: In a country in which people only want boys every family continues to have…
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Posted inStatistics

Johnson’s Revised Standards For Statistical Evidence

Thanks to the many readers who sent me Johnson's paper, which is here (pdf). Those who haven't will want to read "Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof", the material…
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  1. Tony Cooke on Class 50: Independence Versus IrrelevanceMay 15, 2025

    if you are using an Apple PC then you can use MathCapture to get the correct presentation of the probabilities…

  2. Chaeremon on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 15, 2025

    Re: business of conducting research> brave as I am, in 2008 I requested a quote from Science Exchange scienceexchange.com/s/about “Please…

  3. Greg Ostman on New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s LookMay 14, 2025

    All Astro physics to me but how about just take the numbers of vaxed and unvaxed then see how many…

  4. Paul Murphy on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 14, 2025

    Wow, what is that the naive outsider's view? In reality: 1 - you don't get tenure unless your name is…

  5. cdquarles on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 14, 2025

    It is laughable that the premise that "commercial" funding of research is corrupting, but government funding isn't. What was that…

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