Posted inStatistics
Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
Posted inStatistics
The Disparagement Of Epidemiology
I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
This is a revamped and updated classic post with new material. It first appeared on 6 February 2020. It's time to revisit this topic, as we'll see below. Polygenic scores…
Posted inStatistics
How Saying “Food Production Battered By Climate Change” Illustrates The Corruption Of The American Regime
In an interview with Ed Luttwak, who is always worth listening to, he being one of those rare souls that crop up in history who seem to know everybody important,…
Posted inClass Statistics
Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas
Link to all Classes. Video (Hagfish: I was in such a hurry, I forgot my jacket.) Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos…
Posted inStatistics
The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
Posted inStatistics
How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks
Update This must be more difficult than I thought, judging by lack of questions or comments. If you do not understand, ask. Here is a picture of what they are…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
