Posted inStatistics
Why probability cannot be subjective
A reader recently disputed my condensation of the tenets of Bayesian subjective probability. (I promised a thread on which we could discuss the matter more fully, so here it is.)…
Posted inStatistics
The Sean Bell shooting and probability
Yesterday, there were several protests in New York City. The participants were ``outraged" over the recent acquittal of two black cops and one Lebanese cop who shot and killed Sean…
Posted inStatistics
The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
I didn't believe it when I first heard the most perfect conspiracy theory. You won't either. Who would? But once I did hear, I searched, because that is what good…
Posted inStatistics
The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow
Via Alexander Bogomolny: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
Posted inStatistics
Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way
Do not conduct or trust any regression, or any probability model, before you understand what "control" means and does NOT mean. NO CLASS NEXT WEEK. Video https://youtu.be/_ON42EEGrb4 Links: YouTube *…
Posted inStatistics
On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”
The title is lifted from an email I received, one of many asking me to look into the paper "A calibration of nucleic acid (PCR) by antibody (IgG) tests in…
Posted inStatistics
Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data
All uses of hypothesis testing are fallacies. The results could be true, or likely, but only accidentally. A proof based on the Resurrection and GPA. Bonus Song Anon sent in…
Posted inStatistics
Stay The Course: Have Some Class
One thing that bothers our guys is microplastics. Tiny bits of plastic, made from manufacturing everything, that make their way through the world, yes, even into our food and water,…