This is on the philosophy (not mechanics) of the predictive limitations of so-called artificial intelligence models. AI is no different than other models in principle, being only statements which connect…

From time to time people come across what seems like paradoxes which invalidate probability (as logic). These are excellent devices to sharpen thought, but they all suffer from one of…

Way back in 2010, I did the Infinite Monkeys theorem, which says an infinite number of monkeys unintelligently whacking away at typewriters would eventually reproduce Shakespeare. But there aren't an…

Remember! Everybody can and should read Part I. Part III today requires the Class background. Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Video https://videopress.com/v/rGqKBnKk?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube * Twitter -…

Remember! Everybody can and should read Part I. Part II today requires the Class background. Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Video https://videopress.com/v/siBqnPxX?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube * Twitter -…

My Dear Friends and Despised Enemies, Happy New Year. As has been our tradition these many years, it’s time to register our predictions for the coming year. We looked at…

My Dearest Supporters, Loyal Readers & Despised Enemies, Happy New Year, my friends! The Class has begun! Thirty-four episodes in the can, and counting. Of course, my video making skills…

All can and should read this post! Not just those actively taking the Class. This is an introduction to Epidemiology, a science which has done tremendous damage to clear thinking.…