Posted inStatistics
On Cause In Probability Models
Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…
Posted inClass Statistics
Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question
From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, "The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…
Posted inStatistics
Harvard Demonstrates How Not To Do Science In New Self-Confirming Mask Paper
Now I ask you: If you have a computer and want to do a simulation, you must write the code for it. Yes? It doesn't matter what form this code…
Posted inCulture
The Ersatz Nitrogen Crisis or Delusional Expertocracy and the Destruction of Dutch Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
This post also ran at Jaap's site. Introduction The Dutch 'nitrogen crisis' revolves around the misconception that the quality of nature is predominantly determined by N-deposition coming from agriculture. That…
Posted inStatistics
France Update: VAERS Suggests As Many Kids Dying From Vexxine as Coronadoom; Another Paper Shows Mask Mandates Don’t Work; Being Fat Is Bad; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIX
FRENCH FARCE https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1414668383316938752 The French nation has descended into Effeminacy. No man may buy or sell with the Mark of the Vex. NEOLOGISM Hyperpole, n: extravagant exaggeration by politicians in…
Posted inStatistics
The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
Posted inBook review Culture
The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…
Posted inPhilosophy
Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails
Fun quiz time! This is some data: x = c(0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1). Something caused that data to be. I know what it is,…
