Posted inPhilosophy
What Does It Mean To Assess Risk Wrong? Coronadoom Example
There is, as de Finetti said, no such thing as probability. So there is no such thing as risk, either, since risk relies upon probability. If there is no such…
Posted inPodcast
Patrick Coffin Show: How You Can Tell They’re Lying About Covid—Dr. William M. Briggs
Patrick was kind enough to have me on his podcast. Here's his show notes (his title too): #223: How You Can Tell They’re Lying About Covid—Dr. William M. Briggs “There…
Posted inBook review Culture
The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Today, an excerpt of Chapter 6 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. This again is only a brief excerpt from a long chapter which investigates our fascination with celebrities, ignorant…
Posted inStatistics
Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines; The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII
WE CONTINUE The consensus---and we never buck consensii; consensuses?---was to keep these updates going for the time being, but expanding their scope. I have therefore cut back on some of…
Posted inStatistics
The Kind-Hearted Magician — Guest Post by Kip Hansen
We have had a lot of seriousness over the last year. Covid Madness, possibly wonky elections, riots of the Left and riots of the Right, petty criminals become heroes and…
Posted inCulture
Profess Belief In The Science Or Be Arrested For Hate Crimes
One of our Elite Experts, with a certified degree in expertology, is getting tired of the sour looks the uncredentialed give him and his fellow Experts when they blunder, make…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox
Let's take a break from the insanity and wade into cool waters to start the weekend. I'll take it that you've watched this video, which purports to give a solution…
Posted inClass Statistics
The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It
HUFFIN', PUFFIN' & BLUFFIN' The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb---the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the…
